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Previous issue date: 2013-10-04 / This Master s Thesis aims to use the theoretical models of growth with restricted balance of payments, specifically Kaldor (1970) and Thirlwall (1979) models, to analyze the behavior and the pattern of specialization of Brazilian exports and imports in the last years. It is observed that, in some periods, the pattern of specialization has contributed in restricting long-term growth of the Brazilian economy. It has been hypothesized that overall this is due to lack of structural transformation policies. To achieve this goal, it analyzed the performance of Brazilian exports and imports disaggregating them according to their technological content. The basis for comparison was a group of countries to which Brazil is inserted in, the BRIC. In this regard, the work is a comparative analysis by using descriptive statistics. It is concluded that the low rate of GDP growth experienced by Brazil since the 1980s can be explained in part by the decoupling of the Brazilian National Innovation System (NIS) and the Brazilian productive structure. This would be reducing the income elasticity of exports and raising imports, causing a pattern of specialization intensive primary commodities and labor and low-skill labor / A presente disserta??o tem como objetivo utilizar o referencial te?rico dos modelos de crescimento com restri??o do balan?o de pagamentos, especificamente os modelos de Kaldor (1970) e Thirlwall (1979), para analisar o comportamento e o padr?o de especializa??o das exporta??es brasileiras nos ?ltimos anos. Observa-se que, em alguns per?odos, o padr?o de especializa??o tem contribu?do na restri??o do crescimento de longo prazo da economia brasileira. Tem-se como hip?tese geral que isto se deve ? insufici?ncia de pol?ticas de transforma??o estrutural. Para atingir tal objetivo, analisou-se o desempenho das exporta??es e importa??es brasileiras desagregando-as de acordo com o seu conte?do tecnol?gico. A base de compara??o foi um grupo de pa?ses o qual o Brasil est? inserido, o BRIC. Neste aspecto, o trabalho consiste numa an?lise comparativa mediante o uso de estat?stica descritiva. Conclui-se que as modestas taxas de crescimento do PIB vivenciadas pelo Brasil desde a d?cada de 1980 podem ser explicadas em parte pelo descolamento entre o Sistema Nacional de Inova??o (SNI) brasileiro e a estrutura produtiva. Isto estaria reduzindo as elasticidades-renda das exporta??es e elevando a das importa??es, ocasionando um padr?o de especializa??o intensivo em commodities prim?rias e em trabalho de baixa qualifica??o
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:IBICT/oai:repositorio.ufrn.br:123456789/14097 |
| Date | 04 October 2013 |
| Creators | Cardoso, Franciane Alves |
| Contributors | CPF:15842948842, http://lattes.cnpq.br/6259328336633690, Leite, Fabr?cio Pitombo, CPF:79339328515, http://lattes.cnpq.br/7810747556176381, Cavalcanti Filho, Paulo Fernando de Moura Bezerra, CPF:49355244487, http://lattes.cnpq.br/0990473085006948, Louren?o, Andre Luis Cabral de |
| Publisher | Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, Programa de P?s-Gradua??o em Economia, UFRN, BR, Economia Regional |
| Source Sets | IBICT Brazilian ETDs |
| Language | Portuguese |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion, info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis |
| Format | application/pdf |
| Source | reponame:Repositório Institucional da UFRN, instname:Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, instacron:UFRN |
| Rights | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
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