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Systematical Evaluation of Solar Energy Supply Forecasts

The capacity of renewable energy sources constantly increases world-wide and challenges the maintenance of the electric balance between power demand and supply. To allow for a better integration of solar energy supply into the power grids, a lot of research was dedicated to the development of precise forecasting approaches. However, there is still no straightforward and easy-to-use recommendation for a standardized forecasting strategy. In this paper, a classification of solar forecasting solutions proposed in the literature is provided for both weather- and energy forecast models. Subsequently, we describe our idea of a standardized forecasting process and the typical parameters possibly influencing the selection of a specific model. We discuss model combination as an optimization option and evaluate this approach comparing different statistical algorithms against flexible hybrid models in a case study.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:DRESDEN/oai:qucosa:de:qucosa:83305
Date02 February 2023
CreatorsUlbricht, Robert, Hahmann, Martin, Donker, Hilko, Lehner, Wolfgang
PublisherSpringer
Source SetsHochschulschriftenserver (HSSS) der SLUB Dresden
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish
Typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/acceptedVersion, doc-type:conferenceObject, info:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObject, doc-type:Text
Rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
Relation978-3-319-13289-1, 978-3-319-13290-7, 10.1007/978-3-319-13290-7_9

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