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Analysis of predictable behaviour of security returns on the JSE

Thesis (M.M. (Finance & Investment))--University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Commerce, Law and Management, Graduate School of Business Administration, 2013. / This paper replicates Jegadeesh`s (1990) paper entitled “Evidence of Predictable Behavior of Security Returns”. Jegadeesh (1990) states that by using the observed systematic behaviour of stock returns it is possible to make “one-step-ahead return forecasts”. That is forecast the return one month in the future.
The aim of this research is to assess the predictability of monthly returns on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange (JSE) by analysing the monthly returns of stocks and portfolios of stocks from the JSE.
This thesis will show that it is not possible to accurately or reliably forecast future returns for individual stocks or portfolios of stocks from the JSE. In addition the findings in this paper also indicate that stocks and portfolios of stocks from the JSE follow the random walk theory.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:netd.ac.za/oai:union.ndltd.org:wits/oai:wiredspace.wits.ac.za:10539/13792
Date17 February 2014
CreatorsMuzenda, Simon
Source SetsSouth African National ETD Portal
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeThesis
Formatapplication/pdf

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