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Analysts forecast dispersion and stock returns in Hong Kong.

Hung, Chun Man. / Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2008. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 71-74). / Abstracts in English and Chinese. / Abstract --- p.i / 摘要 --- p.ii / Acknowledgement --- p.iii / Table of Content --- p.iv / Chapter 1. --- Introduction --- p.1 / Chapter 1.1 --- Hong Kong securities market background --- p.2 / Chapter 1.2 --- Purpose and brief results --- p.4 / Chapter 1.3 --- Organization of the paper --- p.5 / Chapter 2. --- Literature Review --- p.6 / Chapter 2.1 --- Theoretical Studies --- p.6 / Chapter 2.2 --- Empirical Studies --- p.8 / Chapter 3. --- Methodology --- p.14 / Chapter 3.1 --- Hypothesis development --- p.14 / Chapter 3.2 --- Data and Sample Characteristics --- p.16 / Chapter 3.3 --- Sample selection rules --- p.17 / Chapter 3.4 --- Variables definitions --- p.19 / Chapter 3.5 --- Estimation of market betas (pre-ranking and post-ranking) --- p.23 / Chapter 3.5.1 --- Betas estimation procedure --- p.23 / Chapter 3.5.2 --- Results and findings --- p.25 / Chapter 4. --- Size- Dispersion Portfolio Strategy --- p.27 / Chapter 4.1 --- Formation of size-beta portfolio --- p.27 / Chapter 4.2 --- Results and findings --- p.28 / Chapter 5. --- Fama-MacBeth cross-sectional regressions --- p.32 / Chapter 5.1 --- Relation between dispersion and other firm characteristics --- p.32 / Chapter 5.2 --- Relation between future stocks returns and firm characteristics --- p.33 / Chapter 5.3 --- Robustness check --- p.38 / Chapter 5.3.1 --- Sub-period regressions --- p.38 / Chapter 5.4 --- Possible Explanations --- p.39 / Chapter 6. --- Conclusion Remarks --- p.44 / Chapter 6.1 --- Conclusion --- p.44 / Chapter 6.2 --- Limitations and future direction --- p.45 / Tables --- p.47 / Table 1 Key statistics for the Hong Kong stock market --- p.47 / "Table 2 Sectoral distribution of market capitalization (per cent of total),1997-2006" --- p.48 / "Table 3 Market capitalization: top twenty firms (percentage of total market), 2006" --- p.49 / Table 4 Summary of empirical literature of dispersion on stock returns --- p.50 / Table 5 Summary Statistics for 70 sample stocks: January 1997 to December 2003 --- p.51 / Table 5 Summary Statistics for 70 sample stocks: January 1997 to December 2003(continue) --- p.52 / Table 5 Summary Statistics for 70 sample stocks: January 1997 to December 2003(continue) --- p.53 / Table 6 Sample properties based on sectoral distribution --- p.54 / Table 7 Descriptive statistics for the analysts´ة forecasts dispersion: 1997-2003 --- p.55 / Table 8 Properties of the nine size-beta portfolio for the sample period from January 1997 to December 2003 --- p.56 / Table 9 Mean and Median Portfolio Returns by Size and Dispersion in Analysts´ة Forecasts --- p.57 / Table 9 Mean and Median Portfolio Returns by Size and Dispersion in Analysts´ة Forecasts --- p.58 / Table 10 Mean Portfolio Dispersion by Size and Dispersion in Analysts´ة Forecasts --- p.59 / Table 11 Fama-MacBeth cross-sectional regressions of analysts´ة forecasts dispersion on lagged firm characteristics --- p.60 / Table 12 Fama-MacBeth cross-sectional regressions of Stock excess returns on lagged firm characteristics --- p.61 / Table 12 Fama-MacBeth cross-sectional regressions of Stock excess returns on lagged firm characteristics (continue) --- p.62 / Table 13 Overall monthly correlation matrix between explanatory variables for the period January 1997 to December 2003 --- p.63 / Table 15 Fama-MacBeth cross-sectional regressions of Stock excess returns on lagged firm characteristics (second sub-period) --- p.66 / Table 15 Fama-MacBeth cross-sectional regressions of Stock excess returns on lagged firm characteristics (second sub-period) (continue) --- p.67 / Figures --- p.68 / Figure 1 Growth trend of the Hong Kong stock market --- p.68 / Figure 2 Equities funds raised by H shares enterprise for GEM --- p.69 / Appendix one --- p.70 / References --- p.71

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:cuhk.edu.hk/oai:cuhk-dr:cuhk_326358
Date January 2008
ContributorsHung, Chun Man., Chinese University of Hong Kong Graduate School. Division of Economics.
Source SetsThe Chinese University of Hong Kong
LanguageEnglish, Chinese
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeText, bibliography
Formatprint, v, 74 leaves : ill. ; 30 cm.
CoverageChina, Hong Kong, China, Hong Kong
RightsUse of this resource is governed by the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons “Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International” License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/)

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