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Preliminary Tests of a Dynamic Model of Urban Growth

<p> In this paper, empirical tests of a dynamic urban growth model
are discussed. It is assumed that population change in any urban region
is a function of the population size of the urban centres in the system
and of the distances between them. A set of linear equations is
simultaneously estimated by a least squares procedure. The parameters
of the model; the equilibrium population of each urban region, the
rate of natural increase, and the propensity to migrate between urban
regions, are calculated from the regression coefficients. By estimating
a series of equations at different times, a set of parameter estimates
are obtained. The parameter estimates fluctuate erratically. Recommendations
for further research include the redefinition of the model, and of
the urban system. </p> / Thesis / Master of Arts (MA)

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:mcmaster.ca/oai:macsphere.mcmaster.ca:11375/19999
Date05 1900
CreatorsPreston, Valerie
ContributorsKing, Leslie, Papageorgiou, George, Geography
Source SetsMcMaster University
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish

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