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The Prediction of Consumer Installment Credit Risk: A Criterion Refinement

Data were obtained from 186 applicants at a large Midwestern bank to test the hypothesized advantage of employing a continuous as opposed to a dichotomous criterion when predicting consumer installment credit risk. A continuous criterion of cost was derived and regressed on 21 background items obtained from the application blank (e.g., number of dependents, total monthly income, present indebtedness, etc.). The maximum step of the regression analysis yielded a multiple squared correlation coefficient of .24. This data was then subjected to multiple discriminant analysis employing a median split criterion which yielded an eta squared correlation coefficient of .13. As can be inferred from these results, a greater degree of predictive accuracy may be attained when predicting the continuous variable of risk. Further indicative of the hypothesized advantage of employing a continuous opposed to a dichotomized criterion were the results of the bivariate correlational analyses. Nine background items correlated significantly with the continuous criterion while only five correlated significantly with the dichotomized criterion.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:WKU/oai:digitalcommons.wku.edu:theses-3655
Date01 January 1977
CreatorsMontebello, Anthony
PublisherTopSCHOLAR®
Source SetsWestern Kentucky University Theses
Detected LanguageEnglish
Typetext
Formatapplication/pdf
SourceMasters Theses & Specialist Projects

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