By examining trends in intra-organizational and inter-organizational job transition probabilities
among professional and managerial employees in Germany, we test the applicability of
mainstream career theory to a specific context and challenge its implied change assumption.
Drawing on data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (GSOEP), we apply linear probability
models to show the influence of time, economic cycle and age on the probability of job
transitions between 1984 and 2010. Results indicate a slight negative trend in the frequency of
job transitions during the analyzed time span, owing to a pronounced decrease in
intra-organizational transitions, which is only partly offset by a comparatively weaker positive
trend towards increased inter-organizational transitions. The latter is strongly influenced by
fluctuations in the economic cycle. Finally, the probability of job transitions keeps declining
steadily through the course of one's working life. In contrast to inter-organizational transitions,
however, this age effect for intra-organizational transitions has decreased over time. (authors' abstract)
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:VIENNA/oai:epub.wu-wien.ac.at:4463 |
| Date | January 2014 |
| Creators | Kattenbach, Ralph, Schneidhofer, Thomas, LĂĽcke, Janine, Latzke, Markus, Loacker, Bernadette, Schramm, Florian, Mayrhofer, Wolfgang |
| Publisher | Elsevier |
| Source Sets | Wirtschaftsuniversität Wien |
| Language | English |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | Article, PeerReviewed |
| Format | application/pdf |
| Rights | Creative Commons: Attribution 3.0 Austria |
| Relation | http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jvb.2013.11.001, http://www.elsevier.com/, http://epub.wu.ac.at/4463/ |
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