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Supporting adaptation decisions through scenario planning: Enabling the effective use of multiple methods

Scenario planning is a technique used to inform decision-making under uncertainty, and is increasingly applied in the field of climate change adaptation and policy. This paper describes applications that combine previously distinct scenario methods in new and innovative ways. It draws on numerous recent independent case studies to illustrate emerging practices, such as far stronger connections between researcher-driven and participatory approaches and cycling between exploratory and normative perspectives. The paper concludes with a call for greater support for, and collaboration among, practitioners with the argument that mixed methods are most effective for decision-making in the context of climate change challenges.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:arizona.edu/oai:arizona.openrepository.com:10150/622731
Date January 2016
CreatorsStar, Jonathan, Rowland, Erika L., Black, Mary E., Enquist, Carolyn A.F., Garfin, Gregg, Hoffman, Catherine Hawkins, Hartmann, Holly, Jacobs, Katharine L., Moss, Richard H., Waple, Anne M.
ContributorsUniv Arizona, Ctr Climate Adaptat Sci & Solut, Univ Arizona, DOI Southwest Climate Sci Ctr, USGS, Univ Arizona, Sch Nat Resources & Environm
PublisherELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
Source SetsUniversity of Arizona
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeArticle
RightsPublished by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
Relationhttp://linkinghub.elsevier.com/retrieve/pii/S2212096316300262

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