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Foreign Exchange Market Efficiency:Empirics on East Asia

This paper attempts to test the cross-country efficiency in the foreign exchange market for four countries in East Asia : Taiwan, South Korea, Japan and China,whose values of industrial output are the top four in Asia. This paper use time series methods to test whether the cointegration relations exist or not in U.S. dollar spot exchange market of the four countries . This paper use two econometric models : 2 X 1 VAR model to test mutual co-integration and 4 X 1 VAR model to test co-movements for the foreign exchange rates of the four countries. Additionally, the models includes ARCH effects for the error terms.The empirical results mostly show that there are no cointegration relationships between four countries' spot exchange rates . Based on above results as well as Granger's perspective to the market efficiency of speculative assets in 1986, this study concludes that the hypothesis of cross country efficiency holds for these four countries' foreign exchange market.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:NSYSU/oai:NSYSU:etd-0714111-150532
Date14 July 2011
CreatorsLi, Gang-ming
Contributorsnone, Ching-nun Lee, none
PublisherNSYSU
Source SetsNSYSU Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Archive
LanguageCholon
Detected LanguageEnglish
Typetext
Formatapplication/pdf
Sourcehttp://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0714111-150532
Rightsrestricted, Copyright information available at source archive

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