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Transferability of community-based macro-level collision prediction models for use in road safety planning applications

This thesis proposes the methodology and guidelines for community-based macro-level CPM
transferability to do road safety planning applications, with models developed in one spatial-temporal
region being capable of used in a
different spatial-temporal region. In doing this.
the macro-level CPMs developed for the Greater Vancouver Regional District (GVRD) by
Lovegrove and Sayed (2006, 2007) was used in a model transferability study. Using those
models from GVRD and data from Central Okanagan Regional District (CORD), in the
Province of British Columbia. Canada. a transferability test has been conducted that involved
recalibration of the 1996 GVRD models to Kelowna, in 2003 context. The case study was
carried out in three parts. First, macro-level CPMs for the City of Kelowna were developed
using 2003 data following the research by GVRD CPM development and use. Next, the 1996
GVRD models were recalibrated to see whether they could yield reliable prediction of the
safety estimates for Kelowna, in 2003 context. Finally, a
comparison between the results of
Kelowna’s own developed models and the transferred models was conducted to determine
which models yielded better results.
The results of the transferability study revealed that macro-level CPM transferability was
possible and no more complicated than micro-level CPM transferability. To facilitate the
development of reliable community-based, macro-level collision prediction models, it was
recommended that CPMs be transferred rather than developed from scratch whenever and
wherever communities lack sufficient data of adequate quality. Therefore, the transferability
guidelines in this research, together with their application in the case studies, have been
offered as a contribution towards model transferability to do road safety planning
applications, with models developed in one spatial-temporal region being capable of used in
a different spatial-temporal region. / Applied Science, Faculty of / Civil Engineering, Department of / Graduate

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:UBC/oai:circle.library.ubc.ca:2429/2867
Date11 1900
CreatorsKhondaker, Bidoura
PublisherUniversity of British Columbia
Source SetsUniversity of British Columbia
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeText, Thesis/Dissertation
Format2381473 bytes, application/pdf
RightsAttribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International, http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/

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