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Data-Snooping Biases in Backtesting / Data-Snooping Biases in Backtesting

In this paper, we utilize White's Reality Check, White (2000), and Hansen's SPA test, Hansen (2004), to evaluate technical trading rules while quantifying the data-snooping bias. Secondly, we discuss the result with Probability of Backtest Overfitting framework, introduced by Bailey et al. (2015). Hence, the study presents a comprehensive test of momentum trading across the US futures markets from 2004 to 2016. The evidence indicates that technical trading rules have not been pro?table in the US futures markets after correcting for the data snooping bias.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:nusl.cz/oai:invenio.nusl.cz:262277
Date January 2016
CreatorsKrpálek, Jan
ContributorsBašta, Milan, Malá, Ivana
PublisherVysoká škola ekonomická v Praze
Source SetsCzech ETDs
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish
Typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
Rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess

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