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Analýza konjunkturálních průzkumů / Analysis of the Business Cycle Surveys

The aim of this diploma thesis is to describe the problematic of business cycle and consumer surveys and represent their current development and usage. The secondary objective is to link economical and statistical bonds of business cycle surveys. First, the work describes the basic definition of business cycle surveys and their users. Further it is graphically and theoretically evaluating the current development of particular confidence indicators and their sub-questions. Subsequently is in frame of the current economic development compared development of leading indicators with the development of gross domestic product (calculated using the production method) using the HP filter. In the last part of the work are modeled one-dimensional ARIMA time series models of branch confidence indicators. Result of the work is business cycle surveys analysis in terms of basic economical and statistical ties. Completed work should serve as a material to understand business cycle survey and their importance in frame of economy development.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:nusl.cz/oai:invenio.nusl.cz:165095
Date January 2012
CreatorsBallarinová, Marie
ContributorsBílková, Diana, Hörmannová, Marie
PublisherVysoká škola ekonomická v Praze
Source SetsCzech ETDs
LanguageCzech
Detected LanguageEnglish
Typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis
Rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess

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