The main purpose of this study was to investigate the possible links between natural cycles and Indonesia's five-year development plans in education in terms of historical policies and leading economic indicators that may be useful to decision makers in forecasting for policy planning. / In this study, cycle analysis was applied to the data. The historical-educational policy data were recorded by year from 1945 to 1984 (40 years). The leading economic indicators were in the form of records by year or by month. For the annual data, four categories were from the years 1957 to 1984 (28 years), and eight categories were from the years 1952 to 1984 (33 years). The monthly data comprised four categories from the years 1952 to 1984 (33 years). / The Statistical Analysis System (SAS) computer program was used for spectral analysis to investigate cycles in both the historical-educational policies and leading economic indicators. The computer printouts provided a harmonic analysis and the Bartlett's Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic test. This test was compared to Siegel's critical values. Shimshoni's adaptation of Fisher's harmonic analysis was used to test for statistical significance for the existence of cycles in the periodograms. / This study produced seven statistically significant cycles: four in the historical-educational policies, one in the four principal crops, and two in the three principal mining products. They were consistent with 33 cycles reported by Dewey and Mandino, Lamb, and others which were real and documented. The study also revealed 18 suspected cycles. Also, 50 cycles found in Dewey and Mandino, Lamb, and others which were real and documented were consistent with those 18 suspected cycles. The seven investigated cycles would be useful indicators, in some circumstances, of the most appropriate time period to initiate national development plans. The outcome of this study has also provided information on the roles of natural cycles and their potential links to five-year development plans in education in Indonesia. / Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 48-12, Section: A, page: 3026. / Thesis (Ph.D.)--The Florida State University, 1987.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:fsu.edu/oai:fsu.digital.flvc.org:fsu_76181 |
| Contributors | SAROJO, RIJADI., Florida State University |
| Source Sets | Florida State University |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | Text |
| Format | 338 p. |
| Rights | On campus use only. |
| Relation | Dissertation Abstracts International |
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