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Testing Overreaction and Under-reaction in the Commodity Futures Market

<p> Results from previous studies testing for under-reaction and overreaction in the commodity futures market are mixed and inconclusive. Using a data of more than 20 categories of future contacts ranging from agricultural, metal and energy, we have found significant evidence of under-reaction in food and agricultural commodities but not in the energy and metal sector. It is also found that those relatively inactive commodity future contracts tend to have a stronger tendency to under-react than commodity future contracts are very actively traded. The result also agrees with the behavioral hypothesis that under-reaction is caused by gradual incorporation of information among investors.</p>

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:PROQUEST/oai:pqdtoai.proquest.com:1548068
Date28 December 2013
CreatorsDai, Jingyu
PublisherSingapore Management University (Singapore)
Source SetsProQuest.com
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish
Typethesis

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