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Market Timing, Forecast Ability and Information Flow in Petroleum Futures Markets

Three petroleum futures contracts are examined over a ten-year period from 1986 to 1996. Intertemporal changes in futures prices and the net open interest positions of three trader types are compared to determine what, if any, market timing ability the traders have. Seasonal variation is considered and a simple trading rule is adopted to determine the dollar-return potential for market participation and
shed light on issues of market efficiency.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:unt.edu/info:ark/67531/metadc278807
Date12 1900
CreatorsBuchanan, William K.
ContributorsMacDonald, Don N., Conover, James Allen, 1961-, Chandy, P. R., Molina, David J.
PublisherUniversity of North Texas
Source SetsUniversity of North Texas
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeThesis or Dissertation
Formatvi, 214 : ill., Text
RightsPublic, Copyright, Copyright is held by the author, unless otherwise noted. All rights reserved., Buchanan, William K.

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