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A new approach to pricing real options on swaps : a new solution technique and extension to the non-a.s. finite stopping realm

This thesis consists of extensions of results on a perpetual American swaption problem.
Companies routinely plan to swap uncertain benefits with uncertain costs in the
future for their own benefits. Our work explores the choice of timing policies associated
with the swap in the form of an optimal stopping problem. In this thesis, we have shown
that Hu, Oksendal's (1998) condition given in their paper to guarantee that the optimal
stopping time is a.s. finite is in fact both a necessary and sufficient condition. We have
extended the solution to the problem from a region in the parameter space where optimal
stopping times are a.s. finite to a region where optimal stopping times are non-a.s. finite,
and have successfully calculated the probability of never stopping in this latter region. We
have identified the joint distribution for stopping times and stopping locations in both the
a.s. and non-a.s. finite stopping cases. We have also come up with an integral formula for
the inner product of a generalized hyperbolic distribution with the Cauchy distribution.
Also, we have applied our results to a back-end forestry harvesting model where
stochastic costs are assumed to exponentiate upwards to infinity through time. / Graduation date: 2013

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:ORGSU/oai:ir.library.oregonstate.edu:1957/30831
Date07 June 2012
CreatorsChu, Uran
ContributorsSmythe, Robert, Waymire, Edward
Source SetsOregon State University
Languageen_US
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeThesis/Dissertation

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