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Fundamental momentum as an investment timing indicator for value portfolios

The problem associated with value shares is that they may remain undervalued for an extended period of time. Therefore, determining when to buy value shares has been the focus of many investors and academics. Studies have determined fundamentals provide valuable information when selecting shares while price momentum provides a decent timing indicator. This research examines a novel share selection approach which seeks to combine fundamentals with momentum to obtain a leading timing indicator.This research seeks to determine if the fundamental momentum indicator can successfully and consistently separate value winners from value losers. The value portfolios were formed using a composite valuation measure made of three separate indicators. The Value portfolio was then ranked based on the strength of the fundamental momentum indicator.This research identified that Leverage Factor and Current Ratio momentum was able to separate value winners from losers in a consistent manner. However, only Current Ratio momentum was capable of creating portfolios which could consistently outperform the market. Therefore, this research identified that fundamental momentum could be used as a timing indicator when acquiring value shares. / Dissertation (MBA)--University of Pretoria, 2012. / Gordon Institute of Business Science (GIBS) / unrestricted

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:netd.ac.za/oai:union.ndltd.org:up/oai:repository.up.ac.za:2263/23068
Date09 March 2013
CreatorsYates, Marinus
ContributorsHalfer, Dieter, ichelp@gibs.co.za
PublisherUniversity of Pretoria
Source SetsSouth African National ETD Portal
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeDissertation
Rights© 2012 University of Pretoria. All rights reserved. The copyright in this work vests in the University of Pretoria. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the University of Pretoria.

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