This study presents the implementation of Middle East Technical University Neural Network (METU-NN) models for the ionospheric forecasting together with worldwide usage capability of the Internet. Furthermore, an attempt is made to include expert information in the Neural Network (NN) model in the form of neurofuzzy network (NFN). Middle East Technical University Neurofuzzy Network (METU-NFN) modeling approach is developed which is the first attempt of using a neurofuzzy model in the ionospheric forecasting studies. The Web based applications developed in this study have the ability to be customized such that other NN and NFN models including METU-NFN can also be adapted.
The NFN models developed in this study are compared with the previously developed and matured METU-NN models. At this very early stage of employing neurofuzzy models in this field, ambitious objectives are not aimed. Applicability of the neurofuzzy systems on the ionospheric forecasting studies is only demonstrated. Training and operating METU-NN and METU-NFN models under equal conditions and with the same data sets, the cross correlation of obtained and measured values are 0.9870 and 0.9086 and the root mean square error (RMSE) values of 1.7425 TECU and 4.7987 TECU are found by operating METU-NN and METU-NFN models respectively. The results obtained by METU-NFN model is close to those found by METU-NN model. These results are reasonable enough to encourage further studies on neurofuzzy models to benefit from expert information.
Availability of these models which already attracted intense international attention will greatly help the related scientific circles to use the models. The models can be architecturally constructed, trained and operated on-line. To the best of our knowledge this is the first application that gives the ability of on-line model usage with these features.
Applicability of NFN models to the ionospheric forecasting is demonstrated. Having ample flexibility the constructed model enables further developments and improvements. Other neurofuzzy systems in the literature might also lead to better achievements.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:METU/oai:etd.lib.metu.edu.tr:http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/3/12606031/index.pdf |
| Date | 01 June 2005 |
| Creators | Ozkok, Yusuf Ibrahim |
| Contributors | Tulunay, Ersin |
| Publisher | METU |
| Source Sets | Middle East Technical Univ. |
| Language | English |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | M.S. Thesis |
| Format | text/pdf |
| Rights | To liberate the content for public access |
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