The doctoral thesis examines real estate IPOs and consists of a theoretical part and an empirical part focused on Polish market. The theoretical part offers an overview of theories concerning IPO and the three well-known phenomena related to initial public offerings, i.e. short term underpricing, long term overpricing and occurrence of IPO in waves. In case of short term underpricing and long term overpricing the theories presented are namely the theories based on information asymmetry, institutional theories, agency theories and behavioral theories. In case of IPO waves the theories presented are capital demand hypothesis, information asymmetry hypothesis and investor sentiment hypothesis. Some of the theories, namely the information asymmetry theory, are then applied to the specific case of real estate IPOs. The starting-point for the empirical part is an assumption that valuation of real estate IPOs is less complex than valuation of other companies and therefore information asymmetry among issuers and investors should be presented to a lesser extent. The valuation of real estate IPOs via their Net Asset Value ("NAV") requires less inputs and parameters compared to the corporate valuations with sophisticated financial modelling of the generators of value. Such lower complexity of valuation should be reflected in better ability of the investors to value the emission of the real estate company shares. Subsequently a lower underpricing of the IPOs should be reached and worse long term performance of the IPOs should be eliminated. In relation to the occurrence of the real estate IPOs the existence of IPO waves is assumed. In addition, subject to the assumption that the economical cycles on the real estate markets are longer than on the other markets, longer periods with higher occurrence of IPOs and longer periods with lower or no occurrence of IPOs are expected. The analysis investigates real estate IPOs which in USA means IPOs of so called REIT -- "Real Estate Investment Trusts". REIT is a special institute that guarantees to the companies that adopt this statute, obviously upon meeting several conditions, exemption from the corporate income tax. The REIT are regularly dividend into so called equity REIT, investing in real properties, mortgage REIT, investing in mortgage loans and hybrid REIT, investing in both. With regard to the fact that the analogy of the REIT institute does not exist in Poland, the analysis investigates real estate companies of similar characteristics to the equity REIT. The analyzed markets are polish capital market and real estate market, which both could have been until very recently called emerging markets. It is assumed that the emerging market environment could have impacted the result of the analysis significantly. The analyzed period is basically identical with the modern period of functioning of the Warsaw Stock Exchange, meaning years 1992 -- 2012. The size of the analyzed sample has reached limited but acceptable size of 22 titles. The subject of the analysis are all three major phenomena related to IPOs -- IPO waves, initial underpricing and long term underperformance. The analysis confirmed occurence of a real estate IPO wave on the Polish market in the year 2007 as the market was featuring characteristics of a "hot" market and investors were overly optimistic about real estate titles. In addition, the analysis supported the assumption of a positive correlation between IPO occurence and GDP growth and also between IPO occurence and the volume of real estate investment on the market. Further, the hypothesis test confirmed existence of initial underpricing in case of the real estate IPOs, however to a smaller extent compared to the other corporate IPOs. Subsequent tests were looking to find correlation between the rate of initial underpricing and several factors of the emission such as size, segment of the real estate market etc. In case of long term underperformance, based on the gather evidence, the test could not reject the null hypothesis about the same of better performance of the real estate IPOs compared to the WIG stock indice. Long term underperfomance was thus not confirmed in case of real estate IPOs. Subsequent tests were again investigating impact of several characteristics of the offerings on their long term performance.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:nusl.cz/oai:invenio.nusl.cz:191797 |
| Date | January 2010 |
| Creators | Makovec, Martin |
| Contributors | Marek, Petr, Musílek, Petr, Fárek, Jiří |
| Publisher | Vysoká škola ekonomická v Praze |
| Source Sets | Czech ETDs |
| Language | Czech |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | info:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesis |
| Rights | info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess |
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