In this thesis, we consider random sums with heavy-tailed increments. By the term random sum, we mean a sum of random variables where the number of summands is also random. Our interest is to analyse the tail behaviour of random sums and to construct an efficient method to calculate quantiles. For the sake of efficiency, we simulate rare-events (tail-events) using a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method. The asymptotic behaviour of sum and the maximum of heavy-tailed random sums is identical. Therefore we compare random sum and maximum value for various distributions, to investigate from which point one can use the asymptotic approximation. Furthermore, we propose a new method to estimate quantiles and the estimator is shown to be efficient.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:UPSALLA1/oai:DiVA.org:kth-138950 |
| Date | January 2013 |
| Creators | Suzuki, Yuya |
| Publisher | KTH, Matematisk statistik |
| Source Sets | DiVA Archive at Upsalla University |
| Language | English |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | Student thesis, info:eu-repo/semantics/bachelorThesis, text |
| Format | application/pdf |
| Rights | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
| Relation | Trita-MAT-E ; 2013:59 |
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