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A Microanalytical Simulation Model to Predict the Long-Term Evolution of Employment Biographies in Austria: The Demographics Module

The well-known problems of decreasing birth rates and population
ageing represent a major challenge for the Austrian pension system. It is
expected that the group of pensioners will grow steadily in the future, while
the proportion of people that support them - the taxpayers - will shrink. In
this regard, microsimulation provides a valuable tool to identify the impact
of various policy measures. With microsimulation, it is not only possible
to predict cross-sectional data (e.g., the distribution of age groups in 2050),
but also to simulate lifecourses of people, providing longitudinal outcomes.
The demographics module is the first in a series of modules that are part of
a microsimulation prototype. This prototype is being developed in order to
predict the long-term evolution of Employment Biographies in Austria.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:VIENNA/oai:epub.wu-wien.ac.at:5633
Date January 2009
CreatorsWurzer, Marcus, Hatzinger, Reinhold
PublisherAustrian Statistical Society
Source SetsWirtschaftsuniversität Wien
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeArticle, PeerReviewed
Formatapplication/pdf
RightsCreative Commons: Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)
Relationhttp://www.ajs.or.at/index.php/ajs/article/view/vol38%2C%20n4%20-%204, http://www.osg.or.at/main.asp?VID=1&kat1=94&kat2=666, http://www.ajs.or.at/index.php/ajs/about/editorialPolicies#openAccessPolicy, http://epub.wu.ac.at/5633/

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