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Regularly Varying Time Series with Long Memory: Probabilistic Properties and Estimation

We consider tail empirical processes for long memory stochastic volatility models with
heavy tails and leverage. We show a dichotomous behaviour for the tail empirical process with fixed levels, according to the interplay between the long memory parameter and the tail index; leverage does not play a role. On the other hand, the tail empirical process with random levels is not affected by either long memory or leverage. The tail empirical process with random levels is used to construct a family of estimators of the tail index, including the famous Hill estimator and harmonic moment estimators. The limiting behaviour of these estimators is not affected by either long memory or leverage. Furthermore, we consider estimators of risk measures such as Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall. In these cases, the limiting behaviour is affected by long memory, but it is not affected by leverage. The theoretical results are illustrated by simulation studies.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:uottawa.ca/oai:ruor.uottawa.ca:10393/40083
Date17 January 2020
CreatorsBilayi-Biakana, Clémonell Lord Baronat
ContributorsKulik, Rafal, Ivanoff, B. Gail
PublisherUniversité d'Ottawa / University of Ottawa
Source SetsUniversité d’Ottawa
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeThesis
Formatapplication/pdf

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