This study investigates the impact of natural hazards on level of violence against civilians in countries experiencing armed conflict. While the literature on violence against civilians has made substantial progress, especially in showing how such violence can serve strategic purposes, gaps remain in identifying factors that influence shifts in such strategies. Natural hazards are, as abrupt shocks, one factor that should be considered as a cause but is overlooked. By combining data from the EM-DAT database created by the Centre for Research on the Epidemiology of Disasters and the Georeferenced Event Dataset from Uppsala University, this study employs a zero-inflated negative binomial model to analyse the effects of natural hazards during the emergency and early recovery phases. The findings indicate a slight but significant decrease in violence in the immediate aftermath which contrary to expectations continues in the long term phase. The decrease should be understood as a continuation of violence rather than a cessation of it. These results underscore the need for cooperation between the two fields, to better assist civilians in need.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:UPSALLA1/oai:DiVA.org:uu-531453 |
| Date | January 2024 |
| Creators | Bosma, Muriël |
| Publisher | Uppsala universitet, Institutionen för freds- och konfliktforskning |
| Source Sets | DiVA Archive at Upsalla University |
| Language | English |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | Student thesis, info:eu-repo/semantics/bachelorThesis, text |
| Format | application/pdf |
| Rights | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
Page generated in 0.002 seconds