This thesis is focused on possibilities of a project development prediction and a decision support for managers of those projects, which is an up to date topic in the present time turbulent environment. Project is understood as a stochastic process with discrete states and discrete time in this thesis. This approach could be represented by discrete moments of finding out project state. Project is compared to a finite automaton and Markovs chains are subsequently used. State model of the project based on Earned Value Management method is created in the proposal part of this thesis and there are state transitions probabilities. There are adjustments of the model designed consequently so the model is capable to fit some concrete situation closely. Designed proposals are tested in different situations to prove their value in the experimental part of this work.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:nusl.cz/oai:invenio.nusl.cz:233911 |
| Date | January 2010 |
| Creators | Doležal, Jan |
| Contributors | Buřita, Ladislav, Kreslíková, Jitka, Lacko, Branislav |
| Publisher | Vysoké učení technické v Brně. Fakulta strojního inženýrství |
| Source Sets | Czech ETDs |
| Language | Czech |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | info:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesis |
| Rights | info:eu-repo/semantics/restrictedAccess |
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