One of the most applicable methods of low-temperature geothermal resource
assessment is volumetric method. While applying volumetric method, the values
of uncertain parameters should be determined. An add-in software program to
Microsoft EXCEL, @RISK, is used as a tool to define the uncertainties of the
parameters in volumetric equation. In this study, Monte Carlo simulation
technique is used as the probabilistic approach for the assessment of lowtemperature
Balç / ova-Narlidere geothermal field.
Although Balç / ova-Narlidere geothermal field is being utilized for several direct
heat applications, there exists limited data for resource assessment calculations.
Assessment studies using triangular and uniform distribution type functions for
each parameter gave the mean values of recoverable heat energy of the field as
25.1 MWt and 27.6 MWt, respectively. As optimistic values (90%), those values
were found as 43.6 MWt and 54.3 MWt. While calculating these numbers, a
project life of 25 years with a load factor of 50% is used.
Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:METU/oai:etd.lib.metu.edu.tr:http://etd.lib.metu.edu.tr/upload/2/1122662/index.pdf |
Date | 01 January 2003 |
Creators | Arkan, Serkan |
Contributors | Parlaktuna, Mahmut |
Publisher | METU |
Source Sets | Middle East Technical Univ. |
Language | English |
Detected Language | English |
Type | M.S. Thesis |
Format | text/pdf |
Rights | To liberate the content for public access |
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