Pete Riegel, a well-known sport expert, proposed the formula of race time prediction in 1977. This article discusses whether it is also suitable for Taiwan marathoners. We compiled two hundred and four effective datum by questionary. Some variables possible to affect the running result are added in this work, namely: sex, age, the year of run, height, weight, the race number of marathon, the quantity and the frequency of practices each week. Next, we use multiple regression and sliced inverse regression to increase the accuracy of the running time prediction. The best model, found here has eighty percentage's player with predictive error within fifteen minuates, which is better than the original model by Riegel(1977) with only having sixty-two percentages.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:NSYSU/oai:NSYSU:etd-0719108-212340 |
| Date | 19 July 2008 |
| Creators | Jiang, Cheng-Hong |
| Contributors | Mei-Hui Guo, Ray-Bing Chen, Mong-Na Lo, Kam-Fai Wong, Fu-Chuen Chang |
| Publisher | NSYSU |
| Source Sets | NSYSU Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Archive |
| Language | Cholon |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | text |
| Format | application/pdf |
| Source | http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0719108-212340 |
| Rights | unrestricted, Copyright information available at source archive |
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