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Predicting Large Domain Multi-Physics Fire Behavior Using Artificial Neural Networks

Fire dynamics is a complex process involving multi-mode heat transfer, reacting fluid flow, and the reaction of combustible materials. High-fidelity predictions of fire behavior using computational fluid dynamics (CFD) models come at a significant computational cost where simulation times are often measured in hours, days, or even weeks. A new simulation method is to use a machine learning approach which uses artificial neural networks (ANNs) to represent underlying connections between data to make predictions of new inputs. The field of image analysis has seen significant advancements in ANN performance by using feature based layers in the network architecture. Inspired by these advancements, a generalized procedure to design ANNs to make spatially resolved predictions in multi-physics applications is presented and applied to different fire applications. A deep convolutional inverse graphics network (DCIGN) was developed to predict the two-dimensional spatially resolved spread of a wildland fire. The network uses an image stack corresponding to the spatially resolved landscape, weather, and current fire perimeter (which can be obtained from measurements) to predict the fire perimeter six hours in the future. A transpose convolutional neural network (TCNN) was developed to predict the spatially resolved thermal flow field in a compartment fire from coarse zone fire model predictions. The network uses thirty-five parameters describing the geometry of the room and the ventilation conditions to predict the full-field temperature and velocity throughout the room. The data for use in training and testing both networks was generated using high-fidelity CFD fire simulations. Overall, the ANN predictions in each network agree with simulation predictions for validation scenarios. The computational time to evaluate the ANNs is 10,000x faster than the high-fidelity fire simulations. This work represents a first step in developing super real-time full-field fire predictions for different applications. / Ph. D. / The National Fire Protection Agency estimates the total cost of fire in the United States at $300 billion annually. In 2017 alone, there were 3,400 civilian fire fatalities, 14,670 civilian fire injuries, and an estimated $23 billion direct property loss in the United States. Large scale fires in the wildland urban interface (WUI) and in large buildings still represent a significant hazard to life, property, and the environment. Researchers and fire safety engineers often use computer simulations to predict the behavior of a fire to assist in reducing the hazard of fire. Unfortunately, typical simulations of fire scenarios may take hours, days, or even weeks to run which limits their use to small areas or sections of buildings. A new method is to use a machine learning approach which uses artificial neural networks (ANNs) to represent underlying connections between data to make new predictions of fire behavior. Inspired by advancements in the field of image processing, this research developed a procedure to use machine learning to make rapid high resolution predictions of fire behavior. An ANN was developed to predict the perimeter of a wildland fire six hours in the future based on a set of images corresponding to the landscape, weather, and current fire perimeter, all of which can be obtained directly from measurements (US Geological Survey, Automated Surface Observation System, and satellites). In addition, an ANN was developed to predict high-resolution temperature and velocity fields within a floor of a building based on predictions from a coarse model. The data for use in training and testing these networks was generated using high-resolution fire simulations. Overall, the network predictions agree well with simulation predictions for new scenarios. In addition, the time to run the model is 10,000x faster than the typical simulations. The work presented herein represents a first step in developing high resolution computer simulations for different fire scenarios that run very quickly.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:VTETD/oai:vtechworks.lib.vt.edu:10919/86364
Date12 December 2018
CreatorsHodges, Jonathan Lee
ContributorsMechanical Engineering, Furukawa, Tomonari, Lattimer, Brian Y., Case, Scott W., Tafti, Danesh K., Borggaard, Jeffrey T., Kochersberger, Kevin B.
PublisherVirginia Tech
Source SetsVirginia Tech Theses and Dissertation
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeDissertation
FormatETD, application/pdf, application/x-zip-compressed
RightsIn Copyright, http://rightsstatements.org/vocab/InC/1.0/

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