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Previous issue date: 2014-10-24 / Coordena??o de Aperfei?oamento de Pessoal de N?vel Superior - CAPES / Este estudo tem por objetivo contribuir com evid?ncias para embasar o debate acerca de uma
poss?vel desindustrializa??o da economia brasileira, com ?nfase no per?odo p?s-1995. O
debate teve in?cio em finais da d?cada de 1980, contudo, recentemente a desacelera??o da
ind?stria ganhou for?a nas discuss?es do meio acad?mico. Entre as principais teses nesse
debate est? a novo-desenvolvimentistas que acredita na desindustrializa??o precoce causada
principalmente pela sobreaprecia??o cambial. Contudo, parte da heterodoxia acredita que a
desacelera??o da ind?stria esteja mais relacionada com a taxa de investimento do que do
c?mbio. N?o obstante, segundo a tese ortodoxa, a perda de competitividade devido ao custo
elevado de produ??o pode ter causada a desindustrializa??o no Brasil. Por outro lado, parte da
ortodoxia n?o acredita que o pa?s esteja se desindustrializando, mas est? ocorrendo uma
converg?ncia da ind?stria brasileira ? m?dia mundial. Assim, na tentativa de lan?ar luz sobre
esse debate, o presente estudo busca identificar as raz?es da desacelera??o da ind?stria
brasileira, enfatizando aspectos pouco explorados na literatura, e tentar definir se o pa?s
padece ou n?o de um processo de desindustrializa??o. Ao analisar diversos indicadores,
sobretudo, em n?vel de quantum, encontramos fortes ind?cios de que a desacelera??o da
ind?stria brasileira pode ser caracterizada como uma desindustrializa??o, por?m ainda
insuficiente para qualificar como precoce, dada a perda de participa??o da produ??o f?sica na
produ??o total e o aumento da participa??o dos bens prim?rios na pauta de exporta??o / This study aims to contribute with evidence to reinforce or not the thesis of a possible deindustrialization
of the Brazilian economy, with emphasis on period after 1995. The debate
began in the late 80s, however, recently the industry deceleration gained strength in
discussions academic. Between the main theses in this debate is the new-development that
believes in precocious deindustrialization caused primarily by overvaluation exchange rate.
However, part of heterodoxy believes the industry downturn is more related to the rate of
investment than the exchange rate. Nevertheless, according to the orthodox thesis the loss of
competitiveness due to the high cost of production may have caused the de-industrialization in
Brazil. On the other hand, part of Orthodoxy does not believe that the country is deindustrializing
it, but is occurring convergence of Brazilian industry the world average. Thus,
in an attempt to shed light on this debate, this study intends to identify the reasons for the
deceleration of the Brazilian industry, emphasizing aspects underexplored in the literature and
define whether or not the country suffers a process of deindustrialization. When analyzing
various indicators, especially the quantum level we find strong indications that the
deceleration of the Brazilian industry can be characterized as a deindustrialization, though still
insufficient to qualify as precocious, given the loss of share in physical production in total
output and the share of primary goods in the export basket
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:IBICT/oai:repositorio.ufrn.br:123456789/19551 |
| Date | 24 October 2014 |
| Creators | Silva, Jos? Alderir da |
| Contributors | 15842948842, http://lattes.cnpq.br/6259328336633690, Bastos, Carlos Pinkusfeld, 74045628720, http://lattes.cnpq.br/4932427718070145, Leite, Fabricio Pitombo, 79339328515, http://lattes.cnpq.br/7810747556176381, Louren?o, Andr? Luis Cabral de |
| Publisher | Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, PROGRAMA DE P?S-GRADUA??O EM ECONOMIA, UFRN, Brasil |
| Source Sets | IBICT Brazilian ETDs |
| Language | Portuguese |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion, info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis |
| Source | reponame:Repositório Institucional da UFRN, instname:Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, instacron:UFRN |
| Rights | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
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