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A Look at Model Uncertainty in the Evaluation of Commodity Contingent Claims: A Practitioner's Guide

Model uncertainty in financial markets is prevalent by the very nature of how models are constructed and used by financial practitioners. As such, a proper characterization of model uncertainty should be paramount in the eyes of every practitioner, and furthermore, a proper framework for implementing such a characterization towards financial activities should be implicit. While model uncertainty is acknowledged by practitioners, a cohesive and robust framework for determining a model uncertainty risk measure that is broadly accepted by practitioners is missing. We acknowledge this deficiency and provide a practitioner's guide for evaluating a modern characterization of model uncertainty, specifically that of Li and Kwon, as applied to a subset of derivative related calculations, with the goal of promoting its implementation by practitioners. We promote its implementation by demonstrating the utility and flexibility of such a characterization relative to another modern model uncertainty risk measure, specifically that of Cont.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:LACETR/oai:collectionscanada.gc.ca:OTU.1807/35640
Date15 July 2013
CreatorsLukovich, Jovan
ContributorsKwon, Roy H.
Source SetsLibrary and Archives Canada ETDs Repository / Centre d'archives des thèses électroniques de Bibliothèque et Archives Canada
Languageen_ca
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeThesis

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