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The effect of movement on the early phase of an epidemic

A Markov chain model for the early stochastic phase of the transmission of an infectious pathogen is studied, investigating its properties in the case of an isolated population and of two coupled populations with explicit movement of infectious individuals. Travel was found to play a role in the early development and spread of an infectious disease, particularly in the case of differing basic reproduction numbers in the connected locations. / February 2017

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:MANITOBA/oai:mspace.lib.umanitoba.ca:1993/31899
Date26 October 2016
CreatorsRose, Jason
ContributorsArino, Julien (Mathematics), Magpantay, Felicia (Mathematics) Durocher, Stephane (Computer Science)
Source SetsUniversity of Manitoba Canada
Detected LanguageEnglish

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