Long term forecasting for tidal level using artificial neural network / 利用類神經網路於潮汐長期預報之研究

碩士 / 國立交通大學 / 土木工程系 / 89 / That tidal levels obtained from tidal theory are added as inputs in artificial neural network model is found to improve prediction ability for tidal levels in this paper. The optimum structure of the present artificial neural network model for each station is set up from examining the learning rate, moment factor, input parameters, numbers of hidden layer, learning times and input length. The optimum ANN models for three kinds of tidal types also have five inputs that are two observed tidal levels and three theoretical tidal levels and have learning rate of 0.1 and moment factor of 0.8, respectively. The optimum model for semi-diurnal type at Hsian-Chu station is I5H6O1 with 500 learning times. The optimum model for both mixed type at Hou-pi-hu station and full diurnal type at Pi-tou-chiau station is I5H12O1. The observed tidal data have seasonal deviation from mean water level because of temperature and are deseasonalized by moving Gaussian average with a length of 360 hours. The ANN models have better long-term forecasting for deseasonalized tidal data.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:TW/089NCTU0015019
Date January 2001
CreatorsYan-Jer Tseng, 曾彥
Contributors張憲國
Source SetsNational Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations in Taiwan
Languagezh-TW
Detected LanguageEnglish
Type學位論文 ; thesis
Format94

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