碩士 / 國立臺灣大學 / 地理環境資源學研究所 / 95 / Land-use/land-cover change (LUCC), the consequence of the interactions between humans and the environment, signifies the living pattern of human activities and the decision-making process involved in such activities. At the local level, land-use decisions are usually restricted and made by land agents. In order to evaluate the effects of various land-use driving forces and to establish a predictive model for LUCC, this project used Ilan’s aquaculture as a case study and survey data. We employed chi-square test, t-test and logistic regression analysis to find driving forces, and discriminant analysis to establish a predictive model. The results of chi-square test, t-test and logistic regression analysis showed the differences in 9 variables that were possible driving forces for the abandonment of aquaculture. These variables could distinguish abandoned farmer and unabandoned farmer efficiently. The results of discriminant analysis showed that factors determining whether land agents abandoned their aquaculture land or not could be divided into two different groups based on willing to experiment with new farming technologies, capital for the farming costs, fish disease problem and distance to road. The model achieved a high accuracy rate, demonstrating that discriminant analysis is a useful tool for analyzing land use changes and the relationships between various LUCC driving forces.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:TW/095NTU05136005 |
| Date | January 2007 |
| Creators | Chi-Hsien Hsieh, 謝啟賢 |
| Contributors | Bor-Wen Tsai, 蔡博文 |
| Source Sets | National Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations in Taiwan |
| Language | zh-TW |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | 學位論文 ; thesis |
| Format | 110 |
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