碩士 / 國立臺灣海洋大學 / 航運管理學系 / 98 / Due to the bulk shipping market is uncertain and risky, making chartering decision is one of the most difficult challenges of operation management. Generally, the charter period of timecharter is longer than voyagecharter, and the risk of breaching the contract which the shipowners face is higher than voyagecharer. Since 1 July 2009 the Baltic dry index (BDI) components only calculated by trip timecharter hire. The shipping market is under considerable risks, how to make the chartering decisions the most efficiency to make the profit of shipping companies maximum. Therefore, according to the results of literature reviews and in-depth interviews, this research concludes timecharter operations key influencial factors of bulk shipping, to discuss these factors by questionnaire. In order to understand the key influencial factors of timecharter operations, this research applied the method of Fuzzy Delphi Method to analyze the importance of key influencial factors of timecharter operations, and meanwhile, clarify the causal relationship among each influential factor by utilizing the decision making and trial evaluation laboratory (DEMATEL).
1. Using Fuzzy Delphi analysis the importance of key factors, concerning the integral evaluation criteria, “Reputation” is valued the most, followed by “Speed and consumption”, “Crisis handling”, “Trading limits” and “Forecast of market price”.
2. Using DEMATEL analysis the relevance of key factors, concerning the integral criteria, “Chartering period” exerts the greatest effect on the overall influential degree, followed in descending order by “Payment condition” and “Reputation”. More specifically, the main influential factor is “Scale of operation”, and following are “Trading limits” and “Cargo exclusion and sub-let”. Additionally, the most crucial influenced factor is “Payment condition”, and the second and third among those being affected are “Delivery and redelivery” and “Reputation”.
The results of this study can contribute to dry bulk corporations in making timechartering decisions.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:TW/098NTOU5301012 |
| Date | January 2010 |
| Creators | Yu-Yao Huang, 黃鈺堯 |
| Contributors | Cheng-Chi Chung, 鍾政棋 |
| Source Sets | National Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations in Taiwan |
| Language | zh-TW |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | 學位論文 ; thesis |
| Format | 88 |
Page generated in 0.0205 seconds