碩士 / 國立臺灣師範大學 / 地理學系 / 100 / The land use patterns are constantly changing in Taiwan due to the rapid economic growth, especially the coastal area which are often transformed into industrial zones and other utilities in Taiwan. When industrial zones continually replace lots of agricultural lands, the local natural environments and human landscapes are also changed dramatically, take Tao-Yuan coastal area as an clear example. The purpose of this research is to understand the land use changes in 1978, 1994, and 2004 in Tao-Yuan coastal area, and also to discover the effects of land-use changes toward the windbreaks. First of all, the Geographical Information System (GIS) is applied to delineate the spatial distributions of different land-use types in researching area by classifying land-use patterns into windbreak, farm, built-up, water, road, sand dune, and bare/ grass lands. Secondly, explore land use patterns of changes in each period by using the transfer matrix and Markov models, and then simulate the transformation of the land-use in the future. After that, analyze the factors of the impacts about windbreak-development in each period of time, find out the probability changes of the spatial distribution of the windbreak and predict the result by combining with the Markov model. Last but not least, simulate the situation about the future of windbreak-development.
The researching results showed that the most land-use change in the past 26 years in Tao-Yuan coastal area was the decreasing of agricultural proportions, comparatively rapid increasing of built-up and road proportions. In addition, the windbreaks decreased and tended to be fragmented. Predict through the Markov model simulation, future land-use patterns without environment and human interferences, the windbreak and agricultural proportions will decrease continuously, however, the built-up and road proportions will still increase. In addition, based on the logit model analysis, these explanatory variables have significant effects on the windbreak-development, including elevation, the distance to farm, water, road and sand dunes. Combining the outcomes of Markov model simulating prediction with the probabilities of the changes of windbreaks, the results showed that the windbreaks tended to be reducing constantly and also became fragmented in each period. Expect the results of this study can provide a reference for windbreaks management and regulations relating coastal establishment in Tao-Yuan.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:TW/100NTNU5136019 |
| Date | January 2011 |
| Creators | May-Chee Lian, 連美綺 |
| Contributors | Shyue-Cherng Liaw, 廖學誠 |
| Source Sets | National Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations in Taiwan |
| Language | zh-TW |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | 學位論文 ; thesis |
| Format | 81 |
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