An Evaluation of the ECFA and Its Impact on theTaiwan Economy / 海峽兩岸經濟合作架構協議之評估及對台灣之影響

碩士 / 國立高雄大學 / 高階經營管理碩士在職專班(EMBA) / 100 / The changing the political power since 2000, macroeconomic growth in Taiwan has been substantially reduced. During the period 2000-2010, GDP, per capital GDP, and overall productivity growth rates were all reduced to half of the corresponding levels achieved during the previous period 1960-2000. In order to revitalize the Taiwan economy, the newly elected President Ma Ing-Jeou signed the Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement (ECFA) with China on June 29, 2010.
It has been almost two years after the signing of the ECFA.It is time to have a preliminary assessment of the ECFA by using SWOT analysis and actual statistics. The major findings are summarized as follows:
1. Based on the policy simulation undertaken by the Chung Hua Institute of Economic Research, the real value of GDP increases more than NT$200 billion.
2. The ECFA will benefit most to Taiwan large corporations due to scale of economies and financial resources.
3. It is generally believed that after signing the ECFA it will be easily for Taiwan to sign the FTA with other countries. However, it has been not materialized between Taiwan and the USA, Singapore, European Union, Japan, and ASEAN.
4. The political status between Taiwan and China is still not clear.
5. The Investment protection agreement is still not signed between Taiwan and China, so private business investment from Taiwan to China is not under protection.
6. Taiwan unemployment rate is still quite high. Job creation after ECFA is insignificant.
7. Trade dependence on China is increasing, and business investment from Taiwan to China is also increased significantly.
8. Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inTaiwan is reduced significantly, FDI is moving to China instead of Taiwan.
9. Traditional manufacturing industries, agriculture, and small-medium enterprise are suffered under the ECFA.
10. Income inequality becomes worse due to high unemployment rate and stagnant wages and salaries.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:TW/100NUK05457006
Date January 2012
CreatorsHo-fa Chen, 陳合發
ContributorsPo-chih Lee, Yung-kai Yang, 李博志, 楊詠凱
Source SetsNational Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations in Taiwan
Languagezh-TW
Detected LanguageEnglish
Type學位論文 ; thesis
Format101

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