碩士 / 國立交通大學 / 運輸與物流管理學系 / 102 / This study uses Lotka-Volterra model to analysis the modes of the public transport competition between Taipei city and Kaohsiung city. The model can estimate the transport volume of each transport mode and the equilibrium point analysis by history data. To estimate the volume of the public transport, previous studies usually use nested multinomial logit model or multi-regression and ARMA model. Nested multinomial logit model needs questionnaire to support the estimate of transport volume. In addition, Multi-regression and ARMA model cannot explain the competition and the interaction between different transport modes. However, Lotka-Volterra model can explain the competition and the interaction between different transport modes by transport volume only. This study uses Lotka-Volterra model to estimate the transport volume and the equilibrium point analysis; a case of the civil aviation in Taiwan being forced out the market since Taiwan High Speed Train joined the route between Taipei and Kaohsiung. The result shows the interactions and the competitions between different transport modes and explains the airline withdrawn.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:TW/102NCTU5423009 |
| Date | January 2014 |
| Creators | Teng, Hung-Yu, 鄧弘裕 |
| Contributors | Cho, Hsun-Jung, 卓訓榮 |
| Source Sets | National Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations in Taiwan |
| Language | zh-TW |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | 學位論文 ; thesis |
| Format | 69 |
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