Analyzing Urbanization Data Using Logistic Growth Model: The case of APEC / 應用Logistic成長模型分析都市化數據–以APEC為例

碩士 / 長榮大學 / 土地管理與開發學系碩士班 / 104 / Level of urbanization is an important indicator to predict a number of global trends, however, level of urbanization may be based on unreliable data. This research proposes an simple method to identify a country's urban and country population time series if there is a problem, and to find the upper limit of level of urbanization tendency to view urbanization whether follows logistic growth model. Empirical analysis of the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation member countries’ urban and country population time series were used to verify the reliability of the data.
This study will investigate the urbanization of each APEC member countries. As long as the study sample shows S-shaped growth curve, this method will be effective, but the urban population change and urbanization level predicted in this study found that some outliers should exist. An exception occurs because the value of its national saturation value is abnormal, indicating urbanization is relevant to the background and characteristics of the country. Therefore, to use Logistic growth model to explore the urbanization of a country, we should be aware of its applicability and restriction.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:TW/104CJU00019001
Date January 2015
CreatorsChen,Chien-Hung, 陳建宏
ContributorsHSIEH, SHUN-CHIEH, 謝舜傑
Source SetsNational Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations in Taiwan
Languagezh-TW
Detected LanguageEnglish
Type學位論文 ; thesis
Format72

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