碩士 / 國立高雄第一科技大學 / 運籌管理系碩士班 / 106 / The pirate is following the international marine transportation development, has existed for several hundred years in the marine transportation history, but the world ships receive the case which the pirate attacks to be countless, cause the marine transportation the risk to increase unceasingly.Therefore aimed at the marine security subject to subscribe the related legal article, simultaneously also facilitated the maritime affair organization the establishment, for example: The international maritime affair bureau, the International Maritime Organization as well as the Asian area attacks the pirate agreement of partnership.
This research pirate's case as well as the distribution scope conducts the narrative by the International Maritime Organization 2012 to 2016 between research, discovered the near for five year pirate event in the geographical position, the ships type as well as has in the waters to have the obvious change.Rests on ship registry which the above three changes in the situation as well as the literature discussion mentioned, penetrates Logistic Regression to return the application, the discussion has these factors to be able enable the piracy to have the change, then constructs the Logistic Regression
Carries on Logistic Regression after the SPSS statistics software to return the result to demonstrate, when the geographical position for the West Africa, the ships type for the freighter, has the waters to affect the piracy in the international waters the degree to be biggest; But affects the piracy occurs or not in other strength in the appraisal, this research penetrates the ROC curve (receiver operating characteristic curve, also called receive operation characteristic curve) discusses, and take the geographical position as the West Africa, the ships type as well as has the waters for the freighter to affect the piracy for the international waters for the discussion to give rise to or not the problem most to have other strength, then establishes the Logistic Regression most suitable model.But in ship registry part because then the ROC curve region (Area under the Curve of ROC (AUC ROC) is lower than 0.5 to judge for does not have other strength.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:TW/107NKIT0682001 |
| Date | January 2018 |
| Creators | CAI, JUN-MING, 蔡俊明 |
| Contributors | WU, WEI-MING, 吳偉銘 |
| Source Sets | National Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations in Taiwan |
| Language | zh-TW |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | 學位論文 ; thesis |
| Format | 46 |
Page generated in 0.0858 seconds