碩士 / 國立臺北大學 / 經濟學系 / 107 / The Fukushima earthquake in 2011 results in a great environmental damage and draws concerns about the use of nuclear power. As a consequence, Taiwan’s government aims at reducing the use of nuclear power and reaching the target energy portfolio comprising 50% natural gas, 30% coal, 20% of renewable energy. Developing offshore wind power is one of the major measures in Taiwan in order to remedy the shortage of energy supply in an era of no-nuclear power. Most of the recent studies on offshore wind farms focus on the analysis on environmental impacts and policy design, while little attention has been paid to the ensuing macroeconomic impact. To fill the gap in the literature, this study explores the supply chain of offshore wind industry, and assess the portion that can be distributed to domestic manufacturers. Based on the above assessment, we make a quantitative contribution of the economy-wide impact resulting from “localization by domestic production” of offshore wind power industry using the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) model along with its version 9.a database.
Based on our assessment, when Taiwan reaches the government’s target capacity of 5,500MW for offshore wind power by 2025, the proportion of “localized manufacturing” is about 40%. Our simulation results show that this will lead to an increase in real GDP by 2.24%, equivalent to NT$389 billion. In terms of industrial output value, the biggest beneficiaries are the construction and business service sectors. As for employment, offshore wind farms-related industries could create nearly 56,000 jobs. For the whole economy, the total job creation is about 230,000 jobs. In sum, developing offshore wind power will bring about positive impacts on the macro-economy in Taiwan. Regarding the future development of offshore wind power, “localization by domestic production” is a very important process, because it helps to establish industrial supply chain. Based on the successful experience of Europe, it is of imperative importance to have a sound design of related policy and a stable investment environment in order to stimulate the industrial development.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:TW/107NTPU0389010 |
| Date | January 2019 |
| Creators | MIAO, WEI-ZHONG, 苗瑋中 |
| Contributors | LEE, TSUNG-CHEN, 李叢禎 |
| Source Sets | National Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations in Taiwan |
| Language | zh-TW |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | 學位論文 ; thesis |
| Format | 34 |
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