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A development potential for the Vancouver metropolitan area

The focus of this study is on means by which the spatial distribution of housing development can be explained. This involved firstly (I) identification of potential determinants of residential location and the verification thereof, and secondly (II) investigation into the applicability of the use of Clark's Theory of Exponentially Declining Densities as a predictor of housing unit completions. (I) Interviews with sixty-three developers in the Greater Vancouver Area were used to rank criteria used in their location decision-making. Regressions of some of the more important criteria were attempted with housing completions as the dependent variable.
Analysis of the data demonstrates that housing unit completions of a subarea are strongly related to both its unused and total housing potential. The data does not support the developers’ contention that relative land price is an important locational determinant. Travel time from the central business district is not in itself a significant variable in explaining the spatial distribution of housing unit completions.
(II) Less than 50% of the variation of population density is explainable in terms of distance from the CBD in the manner of Clark's relation: Population/Area = [formula omitted] here d is the distance from the central business district, and A and b are constants.
Considerably better results (59% to 74% of the variation) are obtained with the inverse travel relations:Population/Area Zoned Residential =[formula omitted]and Housing Units/Area Zoned Residential = [formula omitted]where t is the travel time from the central business district.
The existence of unused potential in a subarea as defined by the difference between the density observed and the density calculated (by Clark's Theory or by the Inverse Travel Time Relation above) is a significant predictor variable of whether or not residential construction will take place. However, the magnitude of the unused potential thus calculated is not a significant determinant of the actual number of housing unit completions. / Business, Sauder School of / Graduate

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:UBC/oai:circle.library.ubc.ca:2429/32471
Date January 1972
CreatorsMoore, Richard Albert
PublisherUniversity of British Columbia
Source SetsUniversity of British Columbia
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeText, Thesis/Dissertation
RightsFor non-commercial purposes only, such as research, private study and education. Additional conditions apply, see Terms of Use https://open.library.ubc.ca/terms_of_use.

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