Through the 21st century, global-mean stratospheric ozone abundances are projected to increase due to decreasing chlorine and bromine concentrations (as a consequence of the Montreal Protocol for Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer), and continued CO₂-induced cooling of the stratosphere. Along with CO₂, anthropogenic emissions of the greenhouse gases N₂O and CH₄ are projected to increase, thus increasing their atmospheric concentrations. Consequently, reactive nitrogen species produced from N₂O and reactive hydrogen species produced from CH₄ are expected to play an increasingly important role in determining stratospheric ozone concentrations. Chemistry-climate model simulations were performed using the NIWA-SOCOL (National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research - SOlar Climate Ozone Links) model, which tracks the contributions to ozone loss from a prescribed set of catalytic cycles, including the ozone-depleting nitrogen and hydrogen cycles, over latitude, longitude, pressure and time. The results provide a comprehensive picture of how stratospheric ozone may evolve through the 21st century under a range of greenhouse gas emissions scenarios, and quantitatively extend concepts that had previously been understood only qualitatively.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:canterbury.ac.nz/oai:ir.canterbury.ac.nz:10092/7170 |
| Date | January 2012 |
| Creators | Revell, Laura Eleanor |
| Publisher | University of Canterbury. Chemistry |
| Source Sets | University of Canterbury |
| Language | English |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | Electronic thesis or dissertation, Text |
| Rights | Copyright Laura Eleanor Revell, http://library.canterbury.ac.nz/thesis/etheses_copyright.shtml |
| Relation | NZCU |
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