A comparative study of earnings forecast accuracy by financial analyst relative to time-series model for companies in Hong Kong.

Description

by Li, Man-kong, Vincent, Yee, Yat-pui, Yvonne. / Thesis (M.B.A.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1990. / Bibliography: leaves 92-94. / Library's copy:Disk for circulation (3.5 in.) / TABLE OF CONTENTS / ABSTRACT --- p.ii / TABLE OF CONTENTS --- p.iii / LIST OF TABLES --- p.v / ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS --- p.vi / CHAPTER / Chapter I. --- INTRODUCTION --- p.1 / Importance of Earnings Forecast --- p.1 / Previous Research Findings --- p.3 / Objective --- p.5 / Chapter II. --- AN OVERVIEW OF EARNING FORECASTING --- p.6 / Methods of Forecasting --- p.6 / Financial Analyst's Model --- p.7 / Time-series Model --- p.9 / Common Belief Regarding Forecast Superiority --- p.10 / Chapter III. --- RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHOD OF ANALYSIS --- p.12 / General Framework --- p.12 / Choice of Companies and Time Period --- p.13 / Data Preparation --- p.16 / Actual Earning Data --- p.16 / Forecast Data by Financial Analyst --- p.17 / Adjustment of Data --- p.18 / Time Series Model Data --- p.20 / Generation of Time-series Data --- p.20 / The Time-series Model --- p.20 / Data Analysis --- p.25 / Definition of Forecast Error --- p.25 / Comparison of Forecast Accuracy --- p.26 / Grouping of Companies --- p.26 / Method of Comparison --- p.27 / Chapter IV. --- RESULTS OF ANALYSIS AND IMPLICATIONS --- p.30 / General Data Manipulation --- p.30 / Data For Analysis --- p.30 / Input Data --- p.30 / Computed Forecast Errors --- p.31 / Comparison of Forecast Accuracy --- p.31 / First Time Friedman Test Results --- p.31 / Full Cross-Sectional Dependence --- p.32 / Sectorial Dependence --- p.34 / Cross-Sectional Independence --- p.37 / Wilcoxon Signed Rank Test and Second Time Friedman Test --- p.41 / Full Cross-Sectional Dependence. --- p.42 / Sectorial Dependence --- p.43 / Cross-Sectional Independence --- p.44 / Chapter V. --- CONCLUSION AND DISCUSSION --- p.45 / Findings From Results of Study --- p.45 / Limitation of Study --- p.48 / Cost of Forecast --- p.48 / Sample Size and Length of Study Period --- p.48 / Limited Past Earning Data --- p.49 / Accounting Income Manipulation --- p.50 / Suggested Further Study --- p.50 / APPENDIX A --- p.52 / APPENDIX B --- p.53 / APPENDIX C --- p.56 / BIBLIOGRAPHY --- p.92

Links & Downloads

1. cuhk:318551
2. http://library.cuhk.edu.hk/record=b5886575
3. http://repository.lib.cuhk.edu.hk/en/item/cuhk-318551

Tags

Corporate profits--Forecasting

Additional Fields

Identifer	oai:union.ndltd.org:cuhk.edu.hk/oai:cuhk-dr:cuhk_318551
Date	January 1990
Contributors	Li, Man-kong., Yee, Yat-pui., Chinese University of Hong Kong Graduate School. Division of Business Administration.
Publisher	Chinese University of Hong Kong
Source Sets	The Chinese University of Hong Kong
Language	English
Detected Language	English
Type	Text
Format	print, vi, 94 leaves ; 30 cm. + 1 computer disk (5 1/4 in.)
Coverage	China, Hong Kong
Rights	Use of this resource is governed by the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons “Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International” License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/)