<p>We present a detailed study on application of factor<br />graphs and the belief propagation (BP) algorithm to the<br />power system state estimation (SE) problem. We start<br />from the BP solution for the linear DC model, for which<br />we provide a detailed convergence analysis. Using BPbased<br />DC model we propose a fast real-time state<br />estimator for the power system SE. The proposed<br />estimator is easy to distribute and parallelize, thus<br />alleviating computational limitations and allowing for<br />processing measurements in real time. The presented<br />algorithm may run as a continuous process, with each<br />new measurement being seamlessly processed by the<br />distributed state estimator. In contrast to the matrixbased<br />SE methods, the BP approach is robust to illconditioned<br />scenarios caused by significant differences<br />between measurement variances, thus resulting in a<br />solution that eliminates observability analysis. Using the<br />DC model, we numerically demonstrate the performance<br />of the state estimator in a realistic real-time system<br />model with asynchronous measurements. We note that<br />the extension to the non-linear SE is possible within the<br />same framework.<br />Using insights from the DC model, we use two different<br />approaches to derive the BP algorithm for the non-linear<br />model. The first method directly applies BP methodology,<br />however, providing only approximate BP solution for the<br />non-linear model. In the second approach, we make a key<br />further step by providing the solution in which the BP is<br />applied sequentially over the non-linear model, akin to<br />what is done by the Gauss-Newton method. The resulting<br />iterative Gauss-Newton belief propagation (GN-BP)<br />algorithm can be interpreted as a distributed Gauss-<br />Newton method with the same accuracy as the<br />centralized SE, however, introducing a number of<br />advantages of the BP framework. The thesis provides<br />extensive numerical study of the GN-BP algorithm,<br />provides details on its convergence behavior, and gives a<br />number of useful insights for its implementation.<br />Finally, we define the bad data test based on the BP<br />algorithm for the non-linear model. The presented model<br />establishes local criteria to detect and identify bad data<br />measurements. We numerically demonstrate that the<br />BP-based bad data test significantly improves the bad<br />data detection over the largest normalized residual test.</p> / <p>Glavni rezultati ove teze su dizajn i analiza novih<br />algoritama za rešavanje problema estimacije stanja<br />baziranih na faktor grafovima i „Belief Propagation“ (BP)<br />algoritmu koji se mogu primeniti kao centralizovani ili<br />distribuirani estimatori stanja u elektroenergetskim<br />sistemima. Na samom početku, definisan je postupak za<br />rešavanje linearnog (DC) problema korišćenjem BP<br />algoritma. Pored samog algoritma data je analiza<br />konvergencije i predloženo je rešenje za unapređenje<br />konvergencije. Algoritam se može jednostavno<br />distribuirati i paralelizovati, te je pogodan za estimaciju<br />stanja u realnom vremenu, pri čemu se informacije mogu<br />prikupljati na asinhroni način, zaobilazeći neke od<br />postojećih rutina, kao npr. provera observabilnosti<br />sistema. Proširenje algoritma za nelinearnu estimaciju<br />stanja je moguće unutar datog modela.<br />Dalje se predlaže algoritam baziran na probabilističkim<br />grafičkim modelima koji je direktno primenjen na<br />nelinearni problem estimacije stanja, što predstavlja<br />logičan korak u tranziciji od linearnog ka nelinearnom<br />modelu. Zbog nelinearnosti funkcija, izrazi za određenu<br />klasu poruka ne mogu se dobiti u zatvorenoj formi, zbog<br />čega rezultujući algoritam predstavlja aproksimativno<br />rešenje. Nakon toga se predlaže distribuirani Gaus-<br />Njutnov metod baziran na probabilističkim grafičkim<br />modelima i BP algoritmu koji postiže istu tačnost kao i<br />centralizovana verzija Gaus-Njutnovog metoda za<br />estimaciju stanja, te je dat i novi algoritam za otkrivanje<br />nepouzdanih merenja (outliers) prilikom merenja<br />električnih veličina. Predstavljeni algoritam uspostavlja<br />lokalni kriterijum za otkrivanje i identifikaciju<br />nepouzdanih merenja, a numerički je pokazano da<br />algoritam značajno poboljšava detekciju u odnosu na<br />standardne metode.</p>
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:uns.ac.rs/oai:CRISUNS:(BISIS)108459 |
| Date | 29 May 2019 |
| Creators | Ćosović Mirsad |
| Contributors | Vukobratović Dejan, Sarić Andrija, Popovski Petar, Stefanović Čedomir, Džafić Izudin, Jakovetić Dušan |
| Publisher | Univerzitet u Novom Sadu, Fakultet tehničkih nauka u Novom Sadu, University of Novi Sad, Faculty of Technical Sciences at Novi Sad |
| Source Sets | University of Novi Sad |
| Language | English |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | PhD thesis |
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