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Opinion Dynamics and the Effect of Time-varying Opinions: A Simulation Study

Opinion dynamics is extensively used in studying large-scale social, economical, political and natural phenomena that involve many interacting agents. It also can be used to model the evolution of teams of autonomous vehicles operating in a coordinated fashion with civilian and military applications, when arbitration among individual goals needs to be negotiated. Recently, research was conducted on how opinion dynamics can be the core of collective decision-making mechanisms for swarm robotics. Opinion dynamics with a time varying opinion space, which is the set of all possible opinions an agent may have, is a relatively recent research topic.

In this work, the Deffuant-Weisbuch model (DW model), which allows to model opinion dynamics in shrinking opinion spaces, was applied. In simulating this class of systems and in extracting information from them it is crucial to establish reliable algorithms and criteria for counting the numbers of clusters, as this ultimately affects the determination of the steady state of the system. A method was applied to combine Fuzzy c-means clustering and subtractive clustering to check convergence of the system and avoid negative influence of outliers. Different scenarios are simulated to study the influence of characteristic parameters on the formation of opinions, which is quantified by the formation of clusters in the opinion space. Additionally, we simulate the scenario of a two dimensional opinion space in which one side shrinks, and evaluate how the rate of shrinking influences the steady state opinion space. This is a simplified model to gain some insight on the effect of extreme changes of opinions in multi-dimensional opinion space.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:uottawa.ca/oai:ruor.uottawa.ca:10393/32959
Date January 2015
CreatorsYan, Kai
ContributorsSpinello, Davide
PublisherUniversité d'Ottawa / University of Ottawa
Source SetsUniversité d’Ottawa
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeThesis

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