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Real exchange rates in the long run: an empirical study of purchasing power parity.January 1991 (has links)
by So Wai-man, Raymond. / Thesis (M.B.A.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1991. / Bibliography: leaves 294-302. / ABSTRACT --- p.ii / TABLE OF CONTENTS --- p.iv / LIST OF TABLES --- p.vi / LIST OF FIGURES --- p.xii / LIST OF APPENDICES --- p.xvi / ACKNOWLEDGEMENT --- p.xvii / CHAPTER / Chapter I. --- INTRODUCTION --- p.1 / Importance of Real Exchange Rate Movement --- p.1 / Concepts and Hypotheses --- p.2 / The Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) Doctrine --- p.2 / Real Exchange Rate --- p.6 / Long Run Economic Series --- p.9 / Conclusion --- p.10 / Chapter II. --- LITERATURE REVIEW --- p.11 / Introduction --- p.11 / Literatures In Purchasing Power Parity --- p.12 / Literatures In Real Exchange Rates --- p.18 / Conclusions --- p.23 / Chapter III. --- METHODOLOGY --- p.25 / Introduction --- p.25 / Construction of Real Exchange Rate --- p.25 / Economic Time Series & Stationarity --- p.29 / Box-Jenkins Models --- p.32 / Autoregressive (AR) Models --- p.33 / Moving Average (MA) Models --- p.34 / Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) Models --- p.35 / Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Models --- p.35 / Random Walk Hypothesis --- p.36 / Unit Root Tests --- p.37 / The Dickey-Fuller Test --- p.38 / The Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test --- p.39 / The Sims Test --- p.40 / Hypothesis --- p.42 / The Dickey-Fuller Test --- p.42 / The Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test --- p.42 / The Sims Test --- p.43 / Conclusions --- p.44 / Chapter IV. --- EMPIRICAL RESULTS --- p.45 / Description of Data and Movement of Real Exchange Rates --- p.45 / Tentative AR(1) Models for Real Exchange Rates --- p.48 / Original Series: Whole Period --- p.49 / Original Series: Fixed Rate Period --- p.49 / Original Series: Floating Rate Period --- p.50 / Logarithmic Series: Whole Period --- p.50 / Logarithmic Series: Fixed Rate Period --- p.51 / Logarithmic Series: Floating Rate Period --- p.51 / The Dickey-Fuller Test Statistics --- p.52 / The Augmented Dickey-Fuller Test Statistics --- p.56 / The Sims Test Statistics --- p.59 / Summary of Empirical Results --- p.62 / Chapter V. --- SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS --- p.64 / Highlights of the Findings of this Study --- p.64 / Policy Implications --- p.65 / Conclusions --- p.66 / Limitations --- p.67 / APPENDICES --- p.68 / BIBLIOGRAPHY --- p.294
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Does purchasing power parity hold in developing countries? an application to the Asian countries /Nuasir, Salah Ahmad. January 2001 (has links) (PDF)
Thesis (Ph.D.)--Wayne State University, 2001. / Adviser: Jay H. Levin. Includes bibliographical references.
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noneChiang, Yi-Fang 26 June 2000 (has links)
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Econometric analysis of exchange rates in East AsiaWang, Ping January 1999 (has links)
This study is concerned with the behaviour of exchange rate movements focusing specifically on purchasing power parity (PPP) and the non-stationarity of real exchange rates, for a number of East Asian currencies during their recent floating periods. As one of the most important building blocks in international economies, PPP forms a core component of several models of exchange rate determination, and it is the most intensively tested hypothesis in open-economy macroeconomics. Nevertheless, in contrast to the relative abundance of research on the currencies of industrialised countries, very few studies on East Asian currencies have been carried out, leaving an important gap in the literature. Using recent advances in time series analysis, the results reveal for the East Asian countries that there existed long-run comovement between the nominal exchange rate and domestic and foreign price levels, but that the strict PPP condition claimed by the theory did not hold. This implied that any deviation from the PPP equilibrium was permanent and that there was little tendency for the real exchange rate to be mean reverting. Further investigation suggested that the real exchange rate was cointegrated with fundamentals, with most of the variables entering the cointegration vector significantly, suggesting that the movements of real exchange rate were driven by these factors. Investigating the dynamic paths of the real exchange rate and the long-run relationship (cointegrating relationship) in response to exogenous shocks also revealed that the real exchange rates did not revert to their pre-shock equilibrium, but that the long-run relationship did. It took, normally three to five years, for the real exchange rate to reach and settle down to a new equilibrium and even if the effect of shocks on the long-run relationship was transitory, the speed of convergence to the equilibrium was slow. The results also showed that the effects of shocks vary from one country to another. This meant that there was no universal panacea to deal with fluctuations in real exchange rates, as they were influenced by a country's natural endowment, stage in industrialisation, as well as monetary and exchange policies.
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Exchange rate uncertainty and exports a dynamic model for the Mexican economy /Velázquez-Hernández, Jamie Martin. January 2002 (has links)
Thesis (Ph. D.)--George Washington University, 2002. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 229-235).
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Three essays on nonlinear nonstationary econometrics and applied macroeconomicsBae, Youngsoo, January 2006 (has links)
Thesis (Ph. D.)--Ohio State University, 2006. / Title from first page of PDF file. Includes bibliographical references (p. 95-102).
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Corporate Tax Rates and the Purchasing Power Parity DoctrineBallard, Billy L. (Billy Lanoy) 08 1900 (has links)
This thesis analyzes the effect of corporate tax rates on the purchasing-power-parity (PPP) doctrine. The data used to test this hypothesis are drawn from the U. S., the U. K., the Federal Republic of Germany, Canada, and Japan. The first chapter introduces the reader to the concepts of the PPP doctrine and states the hypothesis. Chapter 2 reviews the literature on the PPP doctrine. Chapter 3 specifies a model of the PPP doctrine including tax rates. Chapter 4 reports and interprets the findings. The study is summarized and conclusions are drawn in chapter 5. In this study it is shown that tax rates are significant only in the case of the U. S. dollar/Canadian dollar exchange rate.
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Purchasing Power Parity and the Efficient Markets: the Recent Empirical EvidenceYuyuenyongwatana, Robert P. (Robert Privat) 12 1900 (has links)
The purpose of the study is to empirically determine the relevance of PPP theory under the traditional arbitrage and the efficient markets (EPPP) frameworks during the recent floating period of the 1980s. Monthly data was collected for fifteen industrial nations from January 1980 to December 1986. The models tested included the short-run PPP, the long-run PPP, the EPPP, the EPPP with deviations from expectations, the forward rates as unbiased estimators of future spot rates, the EPPP and the forward rates, and the EPPP with forward rates and lagged values. A generalized regression method called Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) was employed to test the models. The results support the efficient markets approach to PPP but fail to support the traditional PPP in both the short term and the long term. Moreover, the forward rates are poor and biased predictors of the future spot rates. The random walk hypothesis is generally supported.
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Price convergence in the EMU : a study on the price level changes in the EMU from 1980 to 2005Nilsson, Johanna January 2007 (has links)
<p>According to the different studies regarding customs unions and monetary unions, both these types of economic integration will lead to increased trade which in turn affects the price level.</p><p>In this study, the changes in the price levels across Europe are investigated in order to see if the changes can be attributed to the EMU and the Euro. By using the PPPs calculated by OECD based on the theory of Purchasing Power Parity price levels in different countries become comparable between the countries and over time. The result is that there seems to be a clear convergence towards an average European price level in the observed period 1980-2005.</p><p>In order to investigate if this convergence is an effect of the EMU a panel regression on relevant data is run and the result shows that there has been a convergence in the EMU-price level, but it can most likely not be attributed to the Euro, but other factors like for example increased degrees of openness.</p>
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Price convergence in the EMU : a study on the price level changes in the EMU from 1980 to 2005Nilsson, Johanna January 2007 (has links)
According to the different studies regarding customs unions and monetary unions, both these types of economic integration will lead to increased trade which in turn affects the price level. In this study, the changes in the price levels across Europe are investigated in order to see if the changes can be attributed to the EMU and the Euro. By using the PPPs calculated by OECD based on the theory of Purchasing Power Parity price levels in different countries become comparable between the countries and over time. The result is that there seems to be a clear convergence towards an average European price level in the observed period 1980-2005. In order to investigate if this convergence is an effect of the EMU a panel regression on relevant data is run and the result shows that there has been a convergence in the EMU-price level, but it can most likely not be attributed to the Euro, but other factors like for example increased degrees of openness.
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