Thesis: S.M. in Real Estate Development, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Program in Real Estate Development in conjunction with the Center for Real Estate, 2017. / Cataloged from PDF version of thesis. / Includes bibliographical references (page 65). / When it comes to financial innovations, Mortgage Backed Security (MBS) has the advantages of scattering risk, increasing liquidity, and lowering the financing costs. However, there are a few obstacles to developing a mature MBS market, among which the pricing of MBS is the vital one. Reasonable pricing will not only lead to the success of MBS issuance, but also pave the way for the China's MBS development in the future. This paper first introduced the definitions and development of MBS, and reviewed studies on the Subprime Crisis from the MBS prospective. This paper then discussed the MBS products, issuance procedures, and pricing principles. In particular, it analyzed the key factors of MBS pricing which affected the cash flow of MBS, and the methods to calculate the cash flow considering prepayment behavior. Based on China's capital market and the differences between Chinese and American capital markets and residential loan markets, this paper explored the appropriate pricing model for China's MBS market, and selected Static Cash Flow Yield method to price the MBS products in China. A simulation case was priced using SCFY. In the final section, the author gave some predictions about the development of MBS in China, including improving the primary and secondary mortgage market and the intermediary service system, and furthering interest rates liberalization. / by Shalin Chen. / S.M. in Real Estate Development

Thesis: S.M. in Real Estate Development, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Program in Real Estate Development in conjunction with the Center for Real Estate, 2018. / Cataloged from PDF version of thesis. / Includes bibliographical references (pages 71-72). / New York City is projected to add nearly one million residents by the year 2040. At a time when housing supply and affordability are a significant factor for global competitiveness, the city has implemented a variety of regulations and incentives to encourage new development. Current Mayor Bill de Blasio's housing strategy includes an initiative to rezone several neighborhoods to accommodate higher density, encouraging the private real estate development industry to build more units while requiring that a portion of those units be made permanently affordable. While rezoning actions are often studied years later in order to provide enough time to measure their success, the city's plan calls for as many as 15 neighborhoods to be rezoned within 10 years. A real-time analysis of an individual neighborhood rezoning proposal, approved during the time of this thesis, provides the ability to evaluate research questions related to how rezoning is being carried out now and how participants may alter their strategies going forward. The neighborhood of East Harlem, the third area in the city to undergo this rezoning process, is thus used as a case study for how rezoning is carried out, compromised and ultimately approved. The analysis reveals that the total amount of new residential development made possible through rezoning is limited compared to a "no action" scenario. Thus, the most significant impacts of rezoning are not to dramatically increase the number of new residential units to be built, but rather to require that a portion of those new units are made affordable through the introduction of the city's mandatory inclusionary housing program. Additionally, the rezoning process resulted in significant city commitments to public investments in the neighborhood. Yet, these commitments are not guaranteed within a specific timeframe and are almost entirely the responsibility of the public sector to implement. While the ability of rezoning to produce a significant number of new residential units is limited, rezoning will continue to serve as a primary means for the city to attempt to house its growing population. / by Midori Wong. / S.M. in Real Estate Development

Thesis: S.M. in Real Estate Development, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Program in Real Estate Development in conjunction with the Center for Real Estate, June 2017. / "September 2016." Cataloged from PDF version of thesis. / Includes bibliographical references (page 94). / The built environment consumes more than 40% of the energy used around the world and nearly 70% of the electricity used in the United States. These same buildings use 25% of the world's fresh water resources and contribute 50% of global waste. In order to make the buildings we inhabit more resource-efficient, strategies are being employed through the use of technology, materials, and design in order to achieve a new standard of environmental impact, called net-zero buildings. To date, only a few dozen buildings in the United States have achieved net-zero or net-positive energy and water status, where they capture as much or more energy and water through renewable energy resources and water collection and reuse mechanisms as they use on an annual basis. This thesis examines the many energy- and water-efficient systems, design solutions, and materials that work together to create more sustainable structures and presents case studies for two highly-efficient developments. These net-zero interventions are then compared to the highest-scoring Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED) buildings across the United States in an attempt to detail the similarities and differences in the goals of each system. Research of the top 10 highest-rated investor-owned buildings shows a significant gap in performance between the systems and design elements used to achieve LEED Platinum status and the energy and water interventions that are necessary to reach net-zero consumption goals. The gap in performance between LEED and net-zero design is related to regulatory hurdles, technological advancements, and the sophistication of design teams. Combined, these influence the commercial diffusion of net-zero development projects and can be used to understand how the built environment can start to meet sustainability goals. / by Kevin M. Murphy. / S.M. in Real Estate Development

Thesis: S.M. in Real Estate Development, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Program in Real Estate Development in conjunction with the Center for Real Estate, February 2018. / Cataloged from PDF version of thesis. / Includes bibliographical references (pages 54-56). / There are neighborhoods right in the heart of a city that seem dead and forgotten. The inhabitants of the city steer clear of these neighborhoods. I believe many people perceive these places to be beyond repair. Yet, there are a few individuals who have seen potential in the forgotten neighborhood and were able to revive them. In most cases they did it with minimal investment coupled with a belief that it could be done. A true underdog story. The questions I aim to answer are: How were these neighborhoods turned around? What are the attributes and characteristics they all share? Essentially, what is the secret sauce to reviving a beat up neighborhood? I believe it is important to study those people that have successfully revived more than one neighborhood, because, if you have done it more than once then it is not a fluke and we should pay special attention. We focus on two men, Tony Goldman and Joe Englert. They are responsible for the successful rejuvenation of seven neighborhoods. My goal in writing this is to give others confidence that a neighborhood can be revived and give them a path to do so. / by Alberto R. Vadia. / S.M. in Real Estate Development

Thesis (S.M.)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Program in Real Estate Development in Conjunction with the Center for Real Estate, 2009. / This electronic version was submitted by the student author. The certified thesis is available in the Institute Archives and Special Collections. / Cataloged from student submitted PDF version of thesis. / Includes bibliographical references (p. 82-85). / With 1 billion people living in the slums of cities today and no signs of a decrease in the rate of urbanization and population growth, it is obvious that new approaches to combating poverty and the global housing crisis are needed. Acknowledging the recent growth of the microfinance industry and social investing, this thesis investigates how for-profit social investment techniques could be used to create housing and combat the growth of slums. It compares various for-profit social business models and provides a "toolbox" of potential structures which could be employed based on the characteristics of a specific community. In the end, it shows that social business techniques hold promise as effective ways to draw money into developing nations from the world's capital markets to improve the lives of millions of informal settlers. Using literature reviews, interviews with industry participants, and a feasibility study based in Manila, the paper shows that: - There are multiple for-profit social business structures for producing low-cost housing which could be employed based on the characteristics of the particular community. - The social investment landscape has developed to the point where there is significant capital available for investments in housing. - A social business structure would be effective in providing housing for the lower-middle class population of informal settlements in Manila; and the implementation of such a program would be effective in relieving a large financial burden from public institutions, allowing them to serve more households in the lowest income segment. / (cont.) - These social business models could be scaled-up to numerous communities to create a significant impact on the housing crisis. As real estate developers fancy themselves as choreographers of a dance of multiple disciplines which, when orchestrated well, improves the quality of the built environment, I hope this paper presents a unique multidisciplinary approach to the issue of informal settlements, combining elements of finance, urban planning, law, and policy. / by Kurtis C. Fusaro. / S.M.

Thesis: S.M. in Real Estate Development, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Program in Real Estate Development in conjunction with the Center for Real Estate, 2018. / Cataloged from PDF version of thesis. / Includes bibliographical references (pages 70-74). / This thesis explores relationships between experiential retail and historic adaptive reuse, and develops an understanding of their mutual potentials. The emergence of e-commerce is pressuring traditional brick-and- mortar retail to focus on enhancing experiences irreplaceable by online shopping. Meanwhile, an adaptive reuse approach on historic structures carries forward the city's legend via story-telling. A space and a story make a place, with uniqueness, character, innovation, and sustainability. Between online and offline retail, physical space is the differentiator that activities take place and emotions are felt in person. I look beyond the boundary of asset types to study an experiential trend shared by hospitality, residence, office, and retail. The main difference between experiential and traditional retail is understanding customers' social needs as part of the experience. The socializing effects are partially reflected by social media posts, sharing about unique products, digitalized service, various activities beyond merely shopping, and special space. Historic redevelopment is centered around continuing the heritage and creating synergy. Adaptive reuse is a resourceful alternative to save historic buildings from demolition, but not to be confused with historic preservation. The success of adaptive reuse depends on the right creation of program, one that matches the history and activates the place by engaging users. Historic redevelopment conveys meanings and references to the past that enhance the experience of users. This synergy can be a powerful mechanism to create value in real estate. After examining 10 cases involving experiential retail and adaptive reuse, I see unique opportunities that match the space characteristics in experiential retail and historic buildings, especially in a mixed asset type. Experience is intensified by the collaboration of multiple programs, and strengthened by interacting with a unique historic story. With a theoretical framework summarized from case studies, I compose a practical "menu" of space revamps and program creations for developers to "order from". Based on a sample of approximately 2500 social media hashtags, I characterize unique retail experiences. Applying the menu, I make recommendations to redevelop LA's Bradbury Building, one of the oldest commercial landmarks in Downtown LA, to be a mixed-program experiential center. / by Alice Chen. / S.M. in Real Estate Development

Thesis (S.M. in Real Estate Development)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Program in Real Estate Development in Conjunction with the Center for Real Estate, 2013. / This electronic version was submitted by the student author. The certified thesis is available in the Institute Archives and Special Collections. / Cataloged from student-submitted PDF version of thesis. / Includes bibliographical references (pages 82-84). / This thesis investigates the use of the game theory and the real options theory in real estate development at the strategic level, trying empirically to explain different economic observations among different metropolitan cities and different property types. The real options theory provides a rich theoretical framework to analyze investment values in real estate development. It takes the market uncertainty into consideration, while the widely used neoclassical NPV valuation method takes a deterministic approach. A simplified real options valuation model is set up in this thesis to calculate the option premium value of waiting for developers. However, since it is done in a monopolistic setting, the strategic interaction aspect of real estate development will be analyzed using the game theory model. The interaction of the game theory model and the real options model will provide a comprehensive and powerful framework to study the timing strategy of developers. Using data spanning quarterly from 1995 to 2013 among 5 property types (single-family house, apartment, industrial, office, and retail) and 44 MSAs, this thesis analyzes the relationships empirically between the volatility of underlying assets, the land cost ratio, the option premium value, and the timing of development. The aims of the study are twofold. First, the study compares different market characteristics among different MSAs and different property types from the option game theoretic perspective. Second, it analyzes the effect and the use of the game theory and the real options theory in the context of real estate development. / by Chun Kit So ( Timothy So ) / S.M.in Real Estate Development

Thesis (S.M. in Real Estate Development)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Program in Real Estate Development in Conjunction with the Center for Real Estate , 2010. / Cataloged from PDF version of thesis. / Includes bibliographical references (p. 56). / The high risk and volatility in the current real estate market has sparked investor interest in understanding what determines real estate market volatility. This study examines the U.S. office markets' overall and decomposed volatilities in vacancy and revenue across 45 metropolitan areas from 1987 to 2010. The relationships of the volatilities with economic and physical market characteristics are also analyzed. The study examines five overall or decomposed market volatilities: volatility in vacancy, volatility in revenue, demand-oriented vacancy change volatility, occupancy-oriented revenue change, and covariance of occupancy rent change. The linear regression analyses are used to explain the movements of the volatilities with market determinants, which include market size, employment growth, jobs in specific industries, submarket structures and geography. This study finds that geographical land availability and employment growth are significantly important for predicting market volatilities. Market size does not affect the decomposed volatility, but it reduces overall vacancy change volatility. Moreover, submarket structure becomes more meaningful when the revenue change volatility is decomposed into occupancy and rent changes. This study gives developers some tools for strategic decision-making in office property development issues. / by Hyunjae Kim. / S.M.in Real Estate Development

Thesis (S.M. in Real Estate Development)--Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Program in Real Estate Development in Conjunction with the Center for Real Estate, 2012. / Cataloged from department-submitted PDF version of thesis. This electronic version was submitted and approved by the author's academic department as part of an electronic thesis pilot project. The certified thesis is available in the Institute Archives and Special Collections. / Includes bibliographical references (p. 106-108). / New York City's tax expenditures relate to real property tax totaled $4.5 billion in fiscal year 2012. The largest expenditure relates to the "421-a" tax exemption program for new multi-family residential real estate development, which costs the New Yorkers nearly $1 billion in foregone tax revenue (Office of Tax Policy, FY 2012). The 421-a program was originally established in the 1970s to spur new multi-family developments. Initially, developers received full tax exemption on the assessed value of the new construction, which then decreased by a phase-out schedule where their property taxes were payable in full at the end of benefit period. As the private development market recovered, the city calibrated the program to (i) exclude certain neighborhoods from receiving benefits for strictly market-rate development and (ii) to spur affordable housing development by offering benefits of the program if a certain percentage of the total units constructed were affordable. Despite the success of the strategy in delivering 142,044 residential units in 2012 (Office of Tax Policy, FY 2012), the program has been subjected to increasing scrutiny as New York City's need for real estate tax revenue has increased. It is unclear how many of these units would have been built without the exemption. Many opponents have argued for the termination of the program because it has not produced benefits commensurate with the huge tax expenditures New York City has made, and that the beneficiaries had been landowners who captured the value of the abatements through higher land prices. As the program approaches its potential renewal in June 15, 2015, it is worthwhile to conduct a detailed analysis of the efficacy and cost of the current program. The thesis offers a thorough yet intelligible case study of a co-op building in Chelsea of how the property taxes would be calculated and the program's impact on the financial feasibility of the development. Different scenarios are created that follows each of the program reforms to understand the actual value of the property tax exemptions to developers and the ways in which such value is distributed. In the current environment where many New Yorkers find themselves facing a daunting housing market with decreased production and increased demand for affordable units, the program should strengthen its benefits to steer more developers towards creating affordable housing. Alternative financial models based on the case study suggest that the return of an improved negotiable certificate program can make the 421-a program a more effective affordable housing incentive without additional cost to the city. / by Jenny Chiani Wu. / S.M.in Real Estate Development

Thesis: S.M. in Real Estate Development, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Program in Real Estate Development in conjunction with the Center for Real Estate, 2016. / Cataloged from PDF version of thesis. / Includes bibliographical references (pages 33-34). / The ability of Commercial Real Estate to provide strong current income returns has long been one of its benefits of inclusion into a long-term portfolio. Capital Expenditures can significantly hamper this income return of commercial properties and mislead the investors into making misguided decisions. However, there has long been an informational vacuum about capital expenditure and the current available literature can best be described as non-existent. This thesis focuses entirely on capital expenditure to understand the future implications of Capital Expenditure Spending, and to understand the co-relation between different property characteristics and capital expenditure. The thesis uses contingency tables to understand the behavior of commercial properties over a span of nine years. The goal was to understand if capital expenditure spends have an impact on future spends. If an investor invests high (low) capital expenditure in the present do they keep spending high (low) all throughout their hold periods or their spending changes over time. Secondly, regression analyses is used to better understand the relationship between different property characteristics and capital expenditures and this exercise helps build an intuition about capital expenditure spends. The contingency tables and regression analyses revealed distinguishing trends about capital expenditure and helped understand its behavior. It was revealed that investors currently spending high on capital expenditures are not necessarily successful in saving capital expenditure spends in the future. The regression analyses defined a positive correlation for capital expenditure with respect to age, sq. ft, NOI and market value and it defined a negative co-relation with respect to cap rate and location considering the property was located in the top six markets in the country. / by Mehul Chavada. / S.M. in Real Estate Development