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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

[en] EXCHANGE RATE APPRECIATION IN BRAZIL: IS THE GOVERNMENT GUILTY? / [pt] VALORIZAÇÃO CAMBIAL NO BRASIL: O GOVERNO TEM CULPA?

DANIEL MACHRY BRUM 17 January 2013 (has links)
[pt] Uma das razões tipicamente apontadas para a valorização cambial recente no Brasil é a expansão dos gastos públicos. Aparentemente, essa afirmação encontra amparo teórico, afinal, os modelos, em geral, sugerem que aumento do consumo do governo implica valorização real do câmbio. Contudo, boa parte da evidência empírica sugere o contrário. Além disso, o consumo do governo, seja pelo seu nível ou por sua variação, não parece ser a rubrica dos gastos públicos mais relevante no Brasil. Portanto, cabe olhar também para o investimento e as transferências, até então praticamente ignorados na literatura teórica e empírica. O objetivo deste trabalho é, portanto, investigar empiricamente, sob diversas metodologias, o efeito do consumo, investimento e transferências do governo federal, sobre a taxa real de câmbio efetiva no Brasil. De maneira geral, não encontramos efeito significante. / [en] One of the reasons typically given for the recent currency appreciation in Brazil is the expansion of the public spending. Apparently, this statement is theoretically supported, after all, the models generally suggest that an increase of government consumption implies real foreign exchange appreciation. However, much of the empirical evidence suggests the opposite. Moreover, government consumption, both for its level or its variation, doesn’t seem to be the most relevant account in public spending in Brazil. For that reason, it is also worth looking for investment and transfers, hitherto largely ignored in theoretical and empirical literature. The objective of this study is therefore to investigate empirically, through various methodologies, the effect of the federal’s government consumption, investment and transfers on the real effective exchange rate in Brazil. In general, we found no significant effect.

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