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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

[pt] A DINÂMICA DE EXPECTATIVAS E ESCOLHAS DE PORTFOLIO DE FUNDOS DE INVESTIMENTO / [en] THE DYNAMICS OF INSTITUTIONS BELIEFS AND PORTFOLIO CHOICES

MANUELA MESQUITA DE MAGALHAES 01 September 2022 (has links)
[pt] Estudos empíricos de como ações respondem às expectativas são de crescente importância, pois fornecem informações essenciais sobre as escolhas dos agentes e contribuem para modelos teóricos. Nós construímos uma base de dados inédita combinando dados de previsões de investidores institucionais do valor mensal de variáveis macroeconômicas com suas escolhas de portfolio. Essa base nos permite investigar como esses dois aspectos estão correlacionados. Encontramos que um aumento de expectativa de inflação e da expectativa de câmbio estão correlacionados com uma redução na exposição a pré fixados. Também observamos uma correlação negativa entre as expectativas da taxa de juros e a exposição à inflação se controlamos para as expectativas das demais variáveis. / [en] Empirical studies of how actions respond to expectations are of increasing relevance, as they provide vital information on agents choices and contribute to theoretical models. We explore how this pass-through occurs in institutional investors in Brazil. We assemble a novel dataset by matching data on institutions forecasts of inflation, the exchange rate and the interest rate with their hedge funds portfolio holdings. This dataset allows us to investigate how institutional investors expectations are related to their portfolio choices. We document that increases in funds inflation and exchange rate expectations are correlated with decreases in their exposures to fixed rate bonds. We also observe a negative correlation between their expectation of the interest rate and their exposure to inflation bonds once we control for the other variables.

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