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以類神經網路與區別分析模式研究證券風格之分類、辨識與投資績效 / A study of equity style classification, identification and investment strategy with neural networks and discriminant analysis林為元, Lin, Wei-Yuan Unknown Date (has links)
就目前所知,這是第一篇應用人工類神經網路在股票風格投資方面的研究。類神經網路在樣本內與樣本外的分類正確率皆優於區別分析,而且類神經網路在樣本內的訓練範例中達成了百分之百的分類正確率。此外,我們也解決了傳統方法無法展示股票風格動態的問題。
檢視各種風格投資策略在台灣股票市場的績效表現之後,我們以神經網路為基礎,提出一個簡單而容易實行的投資策略。由這個策略的表現可以說明,即使在考慮了風險因素之後,積極的風格投資策略的確可以增加投資組合的績效表現。 / This is the first study of applying artificial neural networks (ANN) to classify and identify the equity styles. Regarding the accuracy, ANN outperforms discriminant analysis (DA) in all pure samples from 1987 to 1997. The ANN also commits the 100% classification accuracy for the in-sample training samples. In addition, the problem that traditional approach couldn't show equity style dynamics was solved with ANN and DA.
The performances of style investing strategies were examined in Taiwan stock market. The proposed strategy is easily implemented by constructing portfolios based on the return, which neural networks forecasted. There is good evidence to show this simple strategy could enhance profit on the return and risk adjusted basis. This gives one evidence to illustrate that active style investing would add value.
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