The Reticulated Flatwoods Salamander, Ambystoma bishopi, is an inhabitant of longleaf pine forests in the southeastern United States. Historically distributed across southern Alabama, Georgia, and the Florida panhandle west of the Apalachicola-Flint Rivers, the range of this species has been drastically reduced. It is currently listed as federally endangered under the Endangered Species Act (ESA). Population viability analyses (PVAs) represent a key component of many recovery plans for threatened and endangered species. Here we use 10 years of mark recapture data collected from two breeding populations of A. bishopi to construct a demographic model that can be used to evaluate future extinction risk. In chapter one, we quantify population sizes through time, and estimate the impact of annual variability in numbers on genetic viability. This species exists in small (< 500) breeding populations and exhibit annual fluctuations in abundance characteristic of pond-breeding amphibians. In chapter 2, we adopt a modified version of the von Bertalanffy equation to construct size-at-age curves for A. bishopi that include the metamorphic transition. Individuals exhibit rapid growth in the larval stage such that they emerge as metamorphs at 60% of their final body size. In chapter 3, we employ a Cormack-Jolly-Seber model, modified to include continuous covariates, to generate size-dependent survival curves. Survival of A bishopi exhibits dramatic annual and seasonal variability, but is always positively correlated with body size. Lastly, in chapter 4, we combine the elements of all previous chapters to construct an Integral Projection Model (IPM). Given the prevalence of complete recruitment failure in these populations, and their relatively small size, extinction probabilities under a business-as-usual model were high. Increasing the frequency of successful recruitment drastically reduces extinction risk; however, adult survival exerts the greatest influence on long-term population growth. To assure the recovery of A. bishopi, management must consider all elements of the life-history when allocating resources and effort. More generally, both aquatic and terrestrial habitats must be protected for amphibian conservation to be effective, making them ideal candidates for 'umbrella species' status. Amphibian conservation would also benefit from an increase in systematic, long-term data collection. / Doctor of Philosophy / The southeastern United States is the global salamander hotspot, representing a crucible for diversity. Longleaf pine forests, the predominant ecosystem in the southeast, have been reduced to 3% of their former range, with dire consequences for the animals that inhabit them. The Reticulated Flatwoods Salamander, Ambystoma bishopi, is endemic to the region, and currently listed as federally endangered owing to recent population declines. A recovery plan for the species therefore, is required by law, under the Endangered Species Act (ESA). A salient component of modern recovery plans are population forecasts that evaluate future extinction risk. Such forecasts can then be used to assess alternative management strategies proposed to improve the species' long-term prospects. By studying two of the last remaining populations of A. bishopi from 2010-2019, we were able to collect the data required to construct a demographic model that can be used to run population projections. In some regards, A. bishopi is a typical amphibian, in that their populations show dramatic fluctuations in numbers through time, and they exhibit rapid growth in the aquatic larval stage, achieving 60% of their maximum body size in the first three months of life. Flatwoods salamanders breed in ephemeral wetlands, that often dry before successful metamorphosis can occur. The frequency of pond-drying results in a high probability of extinction for a single population, but survival of breeding individuals was equally important when considering long-term persistence. To assure the recovery of A. bishopi, management must consider all elements of the life-history when allocating resources and effort. More generally, both aquatic and terrestrial habitats must be protected for amphibian conservation to be effective, making them ideal candidates for 'umbrella species' status.

The southeastern United States is a global biodiversity hotspot but has experienced severe declines of natural ecosystems. The southeast is currently facing widespread change, particularly from an increasing human population and climate change, that is likely to impact all remaining natural areas to some degree. In this work, I examine some of the challenges currently facing imperiled species of reptiles and amphibians in this region. The work is focused on two species, the Reticulated Flatwoods Salamander (Ambystoma bishopi) and the Eastern Indigo Snake (Drymarchon couperi) both of which are listed on the U.S. Endangered Species List. Chapter 1 used Light Detection and Ranging (LiDAR) data to measure wetland bathymetry (basin shape) in flatwoods salamander breeding wetlands. Bathymetry data were used to construct stage–area relationships for each wetland, and a history of water level monitoring data were applied to these relationships to build multi-year time series of flooded area metrics. These metrics were then combined with an assessment of vegetation characteristics to map potentially suitable habitat for flatwoods salamander breeding within each wetland. Chapter 2 focused on flatwoods salamander phenology (the timing of life history events) in response to climate change. I quantified flatwoods salamander movements into and out of breeding wetlands over a 10-year period (2010–2020), identifying temperature and precipitation patterns that were conducive to salamander movements. I then used future climate projections to forecast movement opportunities for flatwoods salamander from 2030–2099 and used an existing hydrologic model built on the same climate data to understand how phenology may interact with hydrology. Overall, only a small number of years are likely to have an ideal intersection of phenology and hydrology as has been observed during recent breeding seasons. Chapter 3 described the construction of a stochastic Integral Projection Model for flatwoods salamanders. I integrated the projections from Chapter 2 with the population model to estimate the viability of two flatwoods salamander populations from 2030–2099 under multiple climate change scenarios. The results indicated that approximately half of the examined scenarios resulted in a high probability (>0.5) of extinction when considering both wetland hydrology and salamander phenology. In Chapter 4, I described the creation of a stochastic Integral Projection Model for indigo snakes. I then demonstrated the utility of this model by examining the effects of initial population size, road density, and removal of individuals to support a captive colony on indigo snake populations. I found that high road densities and high collection rates would likely lead to population declines, although the rate of declines and extinction risk varied across scenarios. Taken together, these projects highlight some of the challenges currently facing herpetofauna in the southeastern United States, demonstrate the difficulty in conserving these often-overlooked species, and provide useful tools for ongoing conservation efforts focusing on these two imperiled species. / Doctor of Philosophy / We are in the midst of a global biodiversity crisis, with rates of species extinction far exceeding normal levels. Species loss is largely driven by global change attributable to human activities. A rapidly changing world can make it challenging to effectively conserve and manage imperiled species. In this work, I studied two species found only in the southeastern United States that are listed on the U.S. Endangered Species List. Chapters 1–3 focused on the Reticulated Flatwoods Salamander (Ambystoma bishopi), while Chapter 4 focused on the Eastern Indigo Snake (Drymarchon couperi). In Chapter 1, I used high resolution elevation data to map the shape of flatwoods salamander breeding wetlands. These data were then used to estimate flooded areas across multiple years. Flooded area metrics were combined with vegetation measurements to map potential flatwoods salamander breeding habitat. In Chapter 2, I examined how flatwoods salamander movements may respond to climate change. I identified time periods and weather conditions that coincided with flatwoods salamander movements into and out of breeding wetlands. I then projected potential movement opportunities based on multiple future climate scenarios for each breeding season from 2030–2099. My results showed that few years are likely to be ideal for flatwoods salamander reproduction, which is similar to trends observed in recent years. In Chapter 3, I built a population model for flatwoods salamanders. I then combined the model with predictions made in Chapter 2 to estimate the probability that populations would go extinct by the end of the century. The results indicated that the two flatwoods salamander populations examined had a high probability (>0.5) of extinction in about 50% of the climate scenarios. In Chapter 4, I constructed a population model for indigo snakes using a variety of available data. I used this model to examine the effects of road density, initial population size, and removal of individuals to support a captive colony on indigo snake populations. The results suggested that populations experiencing high road densities or high collection rates were likely to decline over time. These projects highlight some of the difficulties in conserving often-overlooked reptiles and amphibians in the southeastern United States and provide important tools for ongoing conservation projects working with these two imperiled species.

Globally, amphibian species have been in decline and a wide range of factors have been purported to be driving the decline. The Gulf Coastal Plain of Florida has a high degree of endemism and rarity and the biodiversity in the region includes a diverse suite of amphibian species. Degradation of habitat has been considered by many to be a major part of amphibian declines, however amphibian declines are complex and in many cases multiple factors are occurring in concert. My dissertation research examined aspects of habitat ecology and occupancy for two rare amphibians, Florida Bog Frog (Rana okaloosae) (Chapter 1, 2, and 3) and Reticulated Flatwoods Salamander (Ambystoma bishopi) (Chapter 5), that are both restricted to the Northern Gulf Coastal Plain. Further, for R. okaloosae I examined the influence of a sympatric congener, Bronze Frog (R. clamitans clamitans), on microhabitat selection (Chapter 1) and growth of tadpoles (Chapter 4). My overall goal was to be able to elucidate factors that limit the geographic range of R. okaloosae and A. bishopi and to identify habitat characteristics that managers could maintain or create to conserve or increase populations of these species. My first chapter examined the microhabitat relationships between R. okaloosae and R. c. clamitans. Rana okaloosae is endemic to northwestern Florida and is sympatric with R. c. clamitans, a more common and widely distributed congener. Further, the two species appeared to be syntopic, have overlapping breeding seasons, and are known to hybridize. The objectives of this chapter were to assess the microhabitat selection of both species and to assess differences in microhabitat use of males of both species during the breeding season. My modeling of habitat selection and comparison of variables used by each species suggests that males of these species select different resources when calling. Therefore, these sympatric ranids select for different resources at a fine scale, however there does appear to be some overlap among some selected habitat characteristics. In Chapter 2, I assessed the habitat use of R. okaloosae at multiple spatial scales. I surveyed for R. okaloosae and evaluated habitat characteristics at used sites and sites where I had no detections to develop among- and within-stream habitat models for R. okaloosae. Rana okaloosae used habitats with high amounts of emergent vegetation at both the among-stream scale and the within-stream scale. Emergent vegetation appears frequently in models of anuran habitat selection, particularly those that occur in fire-dominated landscapes. Further understanding the habitat requirements of R. okaloosae will allow land managers to use appropriate management activities (e.g., prescribed fire) that will increase emergent vegetation and potentially restore habitat that may help increase populations of R. okaloosae. In Chapter 3, I conducted aural surveys for R. okaloosae at two different spatial scales: range-wide and stream-level scales to understand how occupancy and colonization of R. okaloosae may be influenced by scale. My results suggest that at both spatial scales occupancy of R. okaloosae was best described by the presence of mixed forest wetlands at survey sites. At the range-wide scale, colonization and detection were constant across years, however, at the stream-level scale, colonization was predicted by the number of years since last fire and detection was best predicted by the additive combination of relative humidity and temperature. Occupancy of R. okaloosae was patchy at the range-wide and at the stream-level scales and colonization was low at both scales, while derived estimates of local extinction were moderately high. While R. okaloosae still occur in 3 watersheds where they were initially observed in the 1980's, one of the three watersheds appears to be very isolated and detections there are becoming very infrequent. In Chapter 4, I experimentally evaluated the effects of R. c. clamitans tadpoles on R. okaloosae tadpoles. My results suggest that there was limited influence of R. c. clamitans on R. okaloosae. Conversely, it appeared that Rana c. clamitans was more susceptible to intraspecific competition than interspecific competition. The lack of a strong competitive effect of Rana c. clamitans on Rana okaloosae suggests that competitive interactions among tadpoles may have a limited effect at the densities I examined. In Chapter 5, our objectives were to evaluate a suite of within-pool factors (i.e., vegetation structure, water level, and an index to presence of fish) that could influence occupancy of breeding wetlands by larval flatwoods salamanders on Eglin Air Force Base in Florida, USA. Site occupancy over a 4 year period was best described by a model that incorporated high herbaceous vegetation cover and open canopy cover. Detection probability was assessed, but it varied among years and was not included in the model. Our study suggests that managing the breeding habitat of flatwoods salamander for open canopies and dense herbaceous vegetation may contribute to this species' recovery. In conclusion, Chapters 1-3 of my dissertation contribute to a growing understanding about the habitat ecology of R. okaloosae. I have evaluated habitat use of R. okaloosae at multiple spatial scales. At the finest spatial scale R. okaloosae selected for sites that had an abundance of cover probably decreasing their risk of predation (Chapter 1). Similarly, in Chapter 2 at two spatial scales, among and within-streams, R. okaloosae selected for emergent vegetation. Finally, at the broadest spatial scale, range-wide, R. okaloosae were found to be associated with mixed forest wetlands (Chapter 3). I did not find strong support for competition between R. okaloosae and R. c. clamitans tadpoles, although there was some evidence of asymmetric competition (Chapter 4). Further, adult males of each species did not select the same habitat characteristics for calling sites, so there appeared to be some resource partitioning (Chapter 1). Finally, the presence of A. bishopi larvae was found to be associated with herbaceous vegetation and moderate amounts of canopy cover (Chapter 5). Results from Chapter 2 and 5 suggest that both R. okaloosae and A. bishopi are associated with habitat conditions that are likely a result of fire penetrating wetland areas. / Ph. D.